Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally
Larkspur Eviction Risk: Elevated , Bend
Tract 41017001802 · Deschutes County, OR · pop 5,560 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 7.5/10, tract 41017001802 in the Larkspur area of Bend, OR reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,560 residents. Against the Deschutes County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,970
Renter share46.6%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate26.7%
Median income$53,207
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bend and the region
Centroid at 44.0459, -121.2805 · click any tract to drill in
Why Larkspur scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bend
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
26.7% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,363 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bend
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bend
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bend
6.5
How Larkspur compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 57Total filings 2020-21
- 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Larkspur. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Larkspur
At $1,363 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Bend commands. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
What pushes it up most is state political climate at 7.2/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7/10. Cost burden runs about half here against 45.0% across Deschutes County.
On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Bend eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.
Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $53,207.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41017001802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41017001802?
Census tract 41017001802 in the Larkspur neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41017001802?
Median gross rent is $1,363/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41017001802?
26.7% of residents in tract 41017001802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,560.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41017001802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 72th, minority 42th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 41017001802 considered part of Larkspur?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41017001802 fall within Larkspur (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 41017001802 compare to Bend overall?
Tract 41017001802 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Bend at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bend
Top eight tracts in Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Stone Creek
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Orchard District
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Rim
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Southeast Bend
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Larkspur
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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