Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
Larkspur Eviction Risk: Elevated , Bend
Tract 41017001802 · Deschutes County, OR · pop 5,560 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
The Larkspur area of Bend anchors census tract 41017001802, which lands at 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 80% of US census tracts.
About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,363 a month against an average household income of $53,207 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,970
Renter share46.6%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate26.7%
Median income$53,207
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bend and the region
Centroid at 44.0459, -121.2805 · click any tract to drill in
Why Larkspur scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bend
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
26.7% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,363 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bend
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bend
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bend
6.5
How Larkspur compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 57Total filings 2020-21
- 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Larkspur. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Larkspur
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bend eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Deschutes County average of 5.4 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41017001802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41017001802?
Census tract 41017001802 in the Larkspur neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41017001802?
Median gross rent is $1,363/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41017001802?
26.7% of residents in tract 41017001802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,560.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41017001802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 72th, minority 42th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 41017001802 considered part of Larkspur?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41017001802 fall within Larkspur (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 41017001802 compare to Bend overall?
Tract 41017001802 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Bend at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bend
Top eight tracts in Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Stone Creek
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Orchard District
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
River Rim
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Southeast Bend
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Orchard District
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Orchard District
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Larkspur
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Mountain View
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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