Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Medford Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41029000406 · Jackson County, OR · pop 4,806
The Elevated-tier score of 6.5/10 for census tract 41029000406 reflects conditions in Medford, Oregon. It lands near the 86th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,459 monthly, set against $59,894 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 67% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units2,015
Renter share66.6%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate14.2%
Median income$59,894
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
National
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Medford and the region
Centroid at 42.3526, -122.8619 · click any tract to drill in
Why Medford scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Medford
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
14.2% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,459 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medford
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medford
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medford
6.8
How Medford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 455Total filings over 14 yrs
- 3.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.0%Peak (2011)
- 25Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 14 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 150Total filings 2020-21
- 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Medford
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Medford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jackson County average of 6.1 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 455 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 3.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.0% of renter households in 2011.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.70x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41029000406
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029000406?
Census tract 41029000406 in Medford scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41029000406?
Median gross rent is $1,459/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41029000406?
14.2% of residents in tract 41029000406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,806.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41029000406?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 31th, minority 42th, housing 98th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41029000406?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 455 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 41029000406 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.25% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41029000406 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41029000406 compare to Medford overall?
Tract 41029000406 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Medford at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Medford
Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41029000800
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Valley Center Mobile Village
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41029000605
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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