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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,438 of 84,120 nationally

River Edge Public Plaza Eviction Risk: Elevated , Eugene

Tract 41039003900 · Lane County, OR · pop 4,008 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

The River Edge Public Plaza neighborhood of Eugene anchors census tract 41039003900, which lands at 7.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #3,218 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $999 a month against an average household income of $37,067 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 98% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 46% Owners 2%
Tract context
Occupied units2,275
Renter share97.7%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate35.3%
Median income$37,067

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In River Edge Public Plaza
Moderate
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#5 of 45 tracts In Eugene
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 92 tracts In Lane County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Eugene and the region

Centroid at 44.0507, -123.0949 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Edge Public Plaza scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Eugene
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
35.3% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$999 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Eugene
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Eugene
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Eugene
7.5

How River Edge Public Plaza compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
River Edge Public Plaza risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.87.8This tracttract 003900Eugene: 7.97.9Eugeneparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 514Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 2.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.5%Peak (2016)
  • 47Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410390039002000: 25 filings (2.01/100 renter HHs)2001: 33 filings (2.66/100 renter HHs)2002: 38 filings (3.06/100 renter HHs)2003: 20 filings (1.61/100 renter HHs)2004: 30 filings (2.42/100 renter HHs)2005: 29 filings (1.96/100 renter HHs)2006: 28 filings (1.89/100 renter HHs)2007: 32 filings (2.16/100 renter HHs)2008: 31 filings (2.10/100 renter HHs)2009: 28 filings (1.89/100 renter HHs)2010: 29 filings (1.94/100 renter HHs)2011: 34 filings (2.23/100 renter HHs)2012: 27 filings (1.77/100 renter HHs)2013: 40 filings (2.62/100 renter HHs)2014: 43 filings (2.82/100 renter HHs)2016: 47 filings (2.45/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 88% over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 429Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 8.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.68×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (0.29× baseline)2020-02-01: 5 filings (0.59× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (0.35× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.11× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.12× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (0.23× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (0.21× baseline)2021-08-01: 6 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-09-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.12× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (0.41× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2022-02-01: 3 filings (0.35× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (0.35× baseline)2022-04-01: 5 filings (0.59× baseline)2022-05-01: 5 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-06-01: 4 filings (0.35× baseline)2022-07-01: 10 filings (1.05× baseline)2022-08-01: 17 filings (2.27× baseline)2022-09-01: 8 filings (4.57× baseline)2022-10-01: 6 filings (0.53× baseline)2022-11-01: 13 filings (1.53× baseline)2022-12-01: 24 filings (3.31× baseline)2023-01-01: 16 filings (2.29× baseline)2023-02-01: 16 filings (1.88× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.12× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (0.35× baseline)2023-05-01: 8 filings (0.91× baseline)2023-06-01: 7 filings (0.61× baseline)2023-07-01: 6 filings (0.63× baseline)2023-08-01: 8 filings (1.07× baseline)2023-09-01: 6 filings (3.43× baseline)2023-10-01: 3 filings (0.27× baseline)2023-11-01: 12 filings (1.41× baseline)2023-12-01: 5 filings (0.69× baseline)2024-01-01: 3 filings (0.43× baseline)2024-02-01: 2 filings (0.24× baseline)2024-03-01: 10 filings (1.18× baseline)2024-04-01: 15 filings (1.76× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (0.34× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (0.26× baseline)2024-07-01: 7 filings (0.74× baseline)2024-08-01: 6 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-09-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2024-10-01: 8 filings (0.71× baseline)2024-11-01: 7 filings (0.82× baseline)2024-12-01: 11 filings (1.52× baseline)2025-01-01: 11 filings (1.57× baseline)2025-02-01: 6 filings (0.71× baseline)2025-03-01: 7 filings (0.82× baseline)2025-04-01: 22 filings (2.59× baseline)2025-05-01: 9 filings (1.03× baseline)2025-06-01: 14 filings (1.22× baseline)2025-07-01: 7 filings (0.74× baseline)2025-08-01: 6 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-09-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2025-10-01: 3 filings (0.27× baseline)2025-11-01: 4 filings (0.47× baseline)2025-12-01: 7 filings (0.97× baseline)2026-01-01: 6 filings (0.86× baseline)2026-02-01: 5 filings (0.59× baseline)2026-03-01: 6 filings (0.71× baseline)2026-04-01: 8 filings (0.94× baseline)2026-05-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within River Edge Public Plaza. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River Edge Public Plaza

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Eugene eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lane County average of 6.1 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.68x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41039003900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039003900?

Census tract 41039003900 in the River Edge Public Plaza neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41039003900?

Median gross rent is $999/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41039003900?

35.3% of residents in tract 41039003900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,008.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41039003900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 13th, minority 31th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 41039003900 considered part of River Edge Public Plaza?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41039003900 fall within River Edge Public Plaza (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039003900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 514 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039003900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.22% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41039003900 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.68× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41039003900 compare to Eugene overall?

Tract 41039003900 scores 7.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Eugene at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Eugene eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Eugene

Top eight tracts in Eugene ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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