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Neighborhood · Springfield, OR

Thurston Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,194 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10 · range 5.9–5.9

Thurston is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Springfield with 1 census tract and a population of 4,194 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 57% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,291/month sits 3% higher than the Springfield citywide average ($1,258).

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Thurston vs Springfield How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
57.2% +90%
Springfield: 30.1%
Average gross rent
$1,291 +3%
Springfield: $1,258
Average HH income
$54,955 -18%
Springfield: $67,211
Poverty rate
13.4% -13%
Springfield: 15.5%
Renter share
41.9% -7%
Springfield: 45.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Thurston and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.9–5.9

Why Thurston scores 5.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
42% renter households · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
13.4% below poverty line · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Thurston vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Thurston score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Thurston: 5.95.9ThurstonNeighborhoodParent city: 6.96.9Parent cityhost cityState: 7.17.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Thurston

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
41039001803 5.9 4,194 57% $1,291
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 65

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 61%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 49%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 30%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 81%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Thurston

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 351Total filings (sum)
  • 3.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.2%Peak year (2001)
  • 1.84%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 59Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.8Avg monthly observed
  • 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.67×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene, OR).

Frequently asked

About Thurston

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Thurston?

Thurston scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Thurston compare to Springfield overall?

Thurston scores 1.0 points lower than Springfield overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,291 vs $1,258.
Q3

What is the average rent in Thurston?

Average gross rent in Thurston is $1,291/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Thurston residents are renters?

42% of Thurston households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in Springfield). The neighborhood has 4,194 residents.
Q5

Is Thurston a high social-vulnerability area?

Thurston sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Thurston for landlords?

Thurston carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Springfield as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Thurston?

Thurston has 4,246 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.9%), Other / Multiracial (9.3%), Hispanic / Latino (9.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Thurston

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Springfield

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Thurston.

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