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Neighborhood · Springfield, OR

Thurston Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 4,194 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.7/10 · range 6.7–6.7

Thurston maps to a single census tract in Springfield, OR and houses 4,194 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.7/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 57% against 30.1% citywide, putting Thurston 27.1% over its own city.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. 24% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The filing record is not thin: 351 evictions logged in this tract.

Filing activity peaked in 2001 at 7.2% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 1.8% in 2016, is well off that peak.

That places it #3 of 4 neighborhoods in Springfield. Average gross rent runs $1,291, close to the Springfield average. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $54,955.

42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Thurston vs Springfield How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
57.2% +90%
Springfield: 30.1%
Average gross rent
$1,291 +3%
Springfield: $1,258
Average HH income
$54,955 -18%
Springfield: $67,211
Poverty rate
13.4% -13%
Springfield: 15.5%
Renter share
41.9% -7%
Springfield: 45.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Thurston and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.7–6.7

Why Thurston scores 6.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
42% renter households · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
13.4% below poverty line · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Thurston vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Thurston score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.7ThurstonNeighborhood6.3Parent cityhost city6.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Thurston

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
41039001803 6.7 4,194 57% $1,291
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 65

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 61%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 49%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 30%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 81%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Thurston

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 351Total filings (sum)
  • 3.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.2%Peak year (2001)
  • 1.84%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 59Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.8Avg monthly observed
  • 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.67×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene, OR).

Frequently asked

About Thurston

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Thurston?

Thurston scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Thurston compare to Springfield overall?

Thurston scores 0.4 points higher than Springfield overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,291 vs $1,258.
Q3

What is the average rent in Thurston?

Average gross rent in Thurston is $1,291/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Thurston residents are renters?

42% of Thurston households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in Springfield). The neighborhood has 4,194 residents.
Q5

Is Thurston a high social-vulnerability area?

Thurston sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Thurston for landlords?

Thurston carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Springfield as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Thurston?

Thurston has 4,246 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.9%), Other / Multiracial (9.3%), Hispanic / Latino (9.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Thurston

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Springfield

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Thurston.

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