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Neighborhood · Springfield, OR

River Glen Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 12,881 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.9/10 · range 6.5–7.7

River Glen spans 4 census tracts of Springfield, OR, population 12,881. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.9/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Springfield baseline of 30.1%, 54% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. 25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 6.5 to 7.7. A 1.2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Filings are well documented here: 908 across 2 observed tracts. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

The worst year on record was 2007, when filings touched 14.9% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.7% in 2016, is well off that peak. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Springfield, it ranks #3 by risk, the lower third.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Glenwood and Thurston. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $1,237, close to the Springfield average.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
River Glen vs Springfield How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.9% +79%
Springfield: 30.1%
Average gross rent
$1,237 -2%
Springfield: $1,258
Average HH income
$59,377 -12%
Springfield: $67,211
Poverty rate
17.8% +15%
Springfield: 15.5%
Renter share
57.1% +27%
Springfield: 45.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across River Glen and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 6.5–7.7

Why River Glen scores 6.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
57% renter households · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
17.8% below poverty line · Range 3.2–6.1 across tracts
4.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–3.8 across tracts
3.3
Risk score comparison

River Glen vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

River Glen score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.9River GlenNeighborhood6.3Parent cityhost city6.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in River Glen?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 6.5 to 7.7. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in River Glen

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
41039002104 7.7 2,486 65% $1,246
41039002103 6.9 4,362 52% $1,199
41039003301 6.8 3,165 50% $1,213
41039002101 6.5 2,868 51% $1,314
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 77

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 67%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 78%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 83%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in River Glen

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 908Total filings (sum)
  • 6.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.9%Peak year (2007)
  • 4.62%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 716Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.4Avg monthly observed
  • 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.89×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene, OR).

Frequently asked

About River Glen

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for River Glen?

River Glen scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does River Glen compare to Springfield overall?

River Glen scores 0.6 points higher than Springfield overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,237 vs $1,258.
Q3

What is the average rent in River Glen?

Average gross rent in River Glen is $1,237/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of River Glen residents are renters?

57% of River Glen households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in Springfield). The neighborhood has 12,881 residents.
Q5

Is River Glen a high social-vulnerability area?

River Glen sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in River Glen have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in River Glen is census tract 41039002104 (score 7.7/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.5 to 7.7, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is River Glen for landlords?

River Glen carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.9/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Springfield as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of River Glen?

River Glen has 12,947 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.6%), Hispanic / Latino (15.5%), Other / Multiracial (7.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near River Glen

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Springfield

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to River Glen.

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