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Census Tract · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Springfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 41039001903 · Lane County, OR · pop 2,918

Census tract 41039001903 covers Springfield in Lane County, home to 2,918 residents. For landlords it grades 6.3/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 82nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 70% of renter households, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,059 a month against an average household income of $71,697 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 34% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 10% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,066
Renter share34.4%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate19.3%
Median income$71,697

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 17 tracts In Springfield
Elevated
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 92 tracts In Lane County
Elevated
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#156 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
National
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#11,930 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 44.0520, -122.9499 · click any tract to drill in

Why Springfield scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
19.3% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,059 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
6.5

How Springfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Springfield risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 001903Springfield: 6.96.9Springfieldparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 636Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 7.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.6%Peak (2000)
  • 28Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410390019032000: 67 filings (12.64/100 renter HHs)2001: 62 filings (11.70/100 renter HHs)2002: 54 filings (10.19/100 renter HHs)2003: 51 filings (9.62/100 renter HHs)2004: 43 filings (8.11/100 renter HHs)2005: 51 filings (11.14/100 renter HHs)2006: 58 filings (12.66/100 renter HHs)2007: 42 filings (9.17/100 renter HHs)2008: 32 filings (6.99/100 renter HHs)2009: 26 filings (5.68/100 renter HHs)2010: 25 filings (4.52/100 renter HHs)2011: 20 filings (4.11/100 renter HHs)2012: 42 filings (8.62/100 renter HHs)2013: 18 filings (3.70/100 renter HHs)2014: 17 filings (3.49/100 renter HHs)2016: 28 filings (5.53/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 58% over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 134Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 5 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-10-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-01-01: 4 filings (1.07× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-07-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-08-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2023-12-01: 5 filings (2.22× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2024-02-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-07-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-09-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2024-10-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 8 filings (4.57× baseline)2025-03-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-04-01: 6 filings (24.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 4 filings (1.23× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-07-01: 5 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-08-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-10-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Springfield

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lane County average of 6.1 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.73x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 636 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 8.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.6% of renter households in 2000.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41039001903

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039001903?

Census tract 41039001903 in Springfield scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41039001903?

Median gross rent is $1,059/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41039001903?

19.3% of residents in tract 41039001903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,918.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41039001903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 19th, minority 33th, housing 85th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039001903?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 636 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039001903 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.99% of renter households, peaking at 12.6% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41039001903 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41039001903 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 41039001903 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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