Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Springfield Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 41039001902 · Lane County, OR · pop 5,960
41039001902 is a census tract in Springfield, OR. It scores 6.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,960 residents. Against Lane County at 46.2%, 32% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units2,133
Renter share52.2%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate18.8%
Median income$75,502
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
National
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 44.0499, -122.9747 · click any tract to drill in
Why Springfield scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Springfield
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
18.8% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,223 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
6.5
How Springfield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,604Total filings over 16 yrs
- 8.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.2%Peak (2008)
- 44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 66% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 334Total filings 2020-21
- 4.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.95×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Springfield
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10.
The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 1,604 eviction filings across 16 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2008, when 11.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Lane County average of 6.2 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039001902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039001902?
Census tract 41039001902 in Springfield scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039001902?
Median gross rent is $1,223/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039001902?
18.8% of residents in tract 41039001902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,960.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039001902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 88th, minority 47th, housing 76th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039001902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,604 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039001902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.84% of renter households, peaking at 11.2% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41039001902 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.95× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41039001902 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 41039001902 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
River Glen
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Glenwood
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Glenwood
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41039003400
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Glen
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41039001903
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Glen
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Thurston
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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