Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Springfield Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 41039003400 · Lane County, OR · pop 4,924
Tract 41039003400 sits in Springfield eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.2/10. Population here is 4,924. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,991
Renter share46.8%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate19.0%
Median income$59,293
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
National
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 44.0512, -122.9944 · click any tract to drill in
Why Springfield scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Springfield
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
19.0% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,105 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
6.5
How Springfield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 984Total filings over 16 yrs
- 6.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.8%Peak (2007)
- 34Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 259Total filings 2020-21
- 3.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.24×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Springfield
The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.
The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Lane County average of 6.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 984 evictions over 16 years of observation. At $1,105 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Springfield commands.
Filings peaked in 2007 at 8.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #11,988 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039003400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039003400?
Census tract 41039003400 in Springfield scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039003400?
Median gross rent is $1,105/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039003400?
19.0% of residents in tract 41039003400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,924.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039003400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 75th, minority 43th, housing 93th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039003400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 984 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039003400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.14% of renter households, peaking at 8.8% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41039003400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.24× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41039003400 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 41039003400 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
River Glen
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Glenwood
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Glenwood
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Glen
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41039001903
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Glen
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Thurston
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41039001902
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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