Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally
River Glen Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield
Tract 41039002104 · Lane County, OR · pop 2,486 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 41039002104 sits in the River Glen area of Springfield eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.7/10. It is home to 2,486 residents. Cost burden runs 65% here against 46.2% across Lane County.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,142
Renter share66.8%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate24.2%
Median income$42,122
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 44.0666, -123.0374 · click any tract to drill in
Why River Glen scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Springfield
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
24.2% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,246 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
6.5
How River Glen compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 195Total filings 2020-21
- 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.94×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within River Glen. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in River Glen
Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $42,122 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against the Lane County average of 6.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.
The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,246, close to the Springfield average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039002104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039002104?
Census tract 41039002104 in the River Glen neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039002104?
Median gross rent is $1,246/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039002104?
24.2% of residents in tract 41039002104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,486.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039002104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 95th, minority 27th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 41039002104 considered part of River Glen?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41039002104 fall within River Glen (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41039002104 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.94× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41039002104 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 41039002104 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Glenwood
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Glenwood
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41039003400
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Glen
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Glen
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41039001903
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Thurston
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41039001902
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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