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Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Keizer Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41047002504 · Marion County, OR · pop 4,518 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Keizer

Census tract 41047002504 covers part of Keizer, OR, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 4% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,600
Renter share7.3%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate0.4%
Median income$120,534

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 7 tracts In Keizer
Very Low
Within county
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Very Low
Within state
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#860 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very Low
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,206 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Keizer and the region

Centroid at 45.0303, -123.0136 · click any tract to drill in

Why Keizer scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Keizer
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
0.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,852 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Keizer
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Keizer
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Keizer
5.4

How Keizer compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Keizer risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0025045.9Keizerparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Keizer

Average gross rent is $1,852, 30% above the Keizer average. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Cost burden runs 39% here against 48.4% across Marion County. It sits 1.5 points below the Marion County average of 6.0. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.7/10.

The voucher gap is 20.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, state political climate reads 7.2/10.

Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 0%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047002504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047002504?

Census tract 41047002504 in Keizer scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047002504?

Median gross rent is $1,852/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047002504?

0.4% of residents in tract 41047002504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,518.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047002504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 60th, minority 43th, housing 32th.
Q5

How does tract 41047002504 compare to Keizer overall?

Tract 41047002504 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Keizer at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Keizer eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Keizer

Top eight tracts in Keizer ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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