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Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Keizer Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41047001502 · Marion County, OR · pop 5,924 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Keizer

41047001502 is a census tract in Keizer, OR. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,924 residents. Against Marion County at 48.4%, 36% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 34% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units2,027
Renter share52.5%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$83,678

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Keizer
Elevated
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#38 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Moderate
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#596 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Moderate
National
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#21,564 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Keizer and the region

Centroid at 44.9977, -123.0106 · click any tract to drill in

Why Keizer scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Keizer
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,515 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Keizer
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Keizer
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Keizer
5.4

How Keizer compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Keizer risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0015025.9Keizerparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 514Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 4.67%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.4%Peak (2009)
  • 29Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41047001502
Filings dropped 37% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Keizer

23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 7.7/10.

Running hot, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Court records carry 514 eviction filings across 16 observed years.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 3/10. Filings peaked in 2009 at 6.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 74th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Marion County average of 6.0 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,515, close to the Keizer average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $83,678.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047001502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047001502?

Census tract 41047001502 in Keizer scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047001502?

Median gross rent is $1,515/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047001502?

12.2% of residents in tract 41047001502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,924.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047001502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 78th, minority 56th, housing 89th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047001502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 514 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047001502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.67% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 41047001502 compare to Keizer overall?

Tract 41047001502 scores 5.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Keizer at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Keizer eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Keizer

Top eight tracts in Keizer ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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