Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Keizer Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 41047001502 · Marion County, OR · pop 5,924 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Keizer

How risky is Keizer for landlords? Census tract 41047001502 scores 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 67th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,515 a month against an average household income of $83,678 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 34% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units2,027
Renter share52.5%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$83,678

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Keizer
Elevated
Within county
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#50 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Low
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#693 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Low
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,763 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Keizer and the region

Centroid at 44.9977, -123.0106 · click any tract to drill in

Why Keizer scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Keizer
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,515 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Keizer
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Keizer
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Keizer
5.4

How Keizer compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Keizer risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 001502Keizer: 6.46.4Keizerparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 514Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 4.67%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.4%Peak (2009)
  • 29Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410470015022000: 46 filings (7.92/100 renter HHs)2001: 28 filings (4.82/100 renter HHs)2002: 19 filings (3.27/100 renter HHs)2003: 41 filings (7.06/100 renter HHs)2004: 35 filings (6.02/100 renter HHs)2005: 37 filings (5.05/100 renter HHs)2006: 40 filings (5.46/100 renter HHs)2007: 32 filings (4.37/100 renter HHs)2008: 28 filings (3.82/100 renter HHs)2009: 47 filings (6.41/100 renter HHs)2010: 35 filings (5.05/100 renter HHs)2011: 21 filings (2.73/100 renter HHs)2012: 23 filings (2.99/100 renter HHs)2013: 28 filings (3.64/100 renter HHs)2014: 25 filings (3.25/100 renter HHs)2016: 29 filings (2.89/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Keizer

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Keizer eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Marion County average of 6.2 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 514 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 4.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.4% of renter households in 2009.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047001502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047001502?

Census tract 41047001502 in Keizer scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047001502?

Median gross rent is $1,515/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047001502?

12.2% of residents in tract 41047001502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,924.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047001502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 78th, minority 56th, housing 89th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047001502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 514 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047001502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.67% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 41047001502 compare to Keizer overall?

Tract 41047001502 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Keizer at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Keizer eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Keizer

Top eight tracts in Keizer ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related