Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Keizer Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41047001402 · Marion County, OR · pop 5,888
41047001402 is a census tract in Keizer, OR. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,888. around a third of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Marion County average of 48.4%.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,205
Renter share37.8%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$82,134
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
National
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Keizer and the region
Centroid at 44.9892, -123.0355 · click any tract to drill in
Why Keizer scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Keizer
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,369 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Keizer
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Keizer
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Keizer
5.4
How Keizer compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 507Total filings over 16 yrs
- 4.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.8%Peak (2005)
- 33Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 57% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Keizer
24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 7.7/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Court records carry 507 eviction filings across 16 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 6.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. It tracks the Marion County average of 6.0 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,369, close to the Keizer average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $82,134. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41047001402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047001402?
Census tract 41047001402 in Keizer scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41047001402?
Median gross rent is $1,369/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41047001402?
12.8% of residents in tract 41047001402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,888.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41047001402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 65th, minority 41th, housing 65th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047001402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 507 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047001402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.40% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 41047001402 compare to Keizer overall?
Tract 41047001402 scores 5.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Keizer at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Keizer eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Keizer
Top eight tracts in Keizer ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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