Neighborhood · Salem, OR

South Salem Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 18,292 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 4.7–6.3

South Salem is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Salem with 5 census tracts and a population of 18,292 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 44% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 26% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,240/month sits 11% lower than the Salem citywide average ($1,400).

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

5 tracts · population-weighted

South Salem vs Salem How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

43.8% +35%

Salem: 32.5%

Average gross rent

$1,240 -11%

Salem: $1,400

Average HH income

$76,580 +7%

Salem: $71,900

Poverty rate

10.7% -27%

Salem: 14.7%

Renter share

45.5% +3%

Salem: 44.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Salem and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 4.7–6.3

Why South Salem scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Rent control risk

44% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

46% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Economic stress

10.7% below poverty line · Range 1.1–4.8 across tracts

2.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–3.6 across tracts

3.0

Risk score comparison

South Salem vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in South Salem?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.6 points from 4.7 to 6.3. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

6.3 5.9 5.3 5.1 4.7

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

5 tracts in South Salem

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
41047001200	6.3	3,833	52%	$1,051
41047002101	5.9	2,141	58%	$1,288
41047001300	5.3	4,374	54%	$1,325
41047001100	5.1	5,415	34%	$1,295
41047002201	4.7	2,529	23%	$1,222

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 44

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 37%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 46%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 36%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 58%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in South Salem

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

2,317Total filings (sum)
4.04%Avg annual filing rate
18.3%Peak year (2006)
3.00%Latest filed (2016)

Frequently asked

About South Salem

What is the eviction-risk score for South Salem?

South Salem scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does South Salem compare to Salem overall?

South Salem scores 1.9 points lower than Salem overall (7.3/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,240 vs $1,400.

What is the average rent in South Salem?

Average gross rent in South Salem eviction risk is $1,240/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of South Salem residents are renters?

46% of South Salem households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Salem). The neighborhood has 18,292 residents.

Is South Salem a high social-vulnerability area?

South Salem sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in South Salem have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Salem is census tract 41047001200 (score 6.3/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 6.3, a spread of 1.6 points.

How safe is South Salem for landlords?

South Salem eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Salem as a whole (7.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of South Salem?

South Salem has 18,322 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.5%), Hispanic / Latino (12.6%), Other / Multiracial (6.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Salem

5.5 Sunnyslope 4 tracts · pop 26,654 6.4 Grant 4 tracts · pop 19,194 5.4 Four Corners 4 tracts · pop 26,115 6.6 Oak Park 9 tracts · pop 46,068 5.5 Highland 2 tracts · pop 10,183

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Salem

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Salem.

5.4 West Salem 2 tracts · pop 9,434 5.5 Sunnyslope 4 tracts · pop 26,654 4.5 Salemtowne 1 tracts · pop 8,203 6.4 Grant 4 tracts · pop 19,194 6.7 Oak Park 9 tracts · pop 46,068 6.8 Highland 1 tracts · pop 2,294

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