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Neighborhood · Salem, OR

Oak Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

9 census tracts · pop 46,068 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.7/10 · range 5.8–7.7

Oak Park is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Salem with 9 census tracts and a population of 46,068 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 61% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 36% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,320/month sits 6% lower than the Salem citywide average ($1,400).

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
9 tracts · population-weighted
Oak Park vs Salem How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.0% +88%
Salem: 32.5%
Average gross rent
$1,320 -6%
Salem: $1,400
Average HH income
$55,339 -23%
Salem: $71,900
Poverty rate
25.8% +76%
Salem: 14.7%
Renter share
62.2% +41%
Salem: 44.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 9 tracts span score 5.8–7.7

Why Oak Park scores 6.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.6–7.0 across tracts
6.8
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 7.5–8.1 across tracts
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.7–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
62% renter households · Range 6.5–9.4 across tracts
6.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–8.2 across tracts
7.2
Economic stress
25.8% below poverty line · Range 3.1–10.0 across tracts
6.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–4.8 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Oak Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Oak Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Oak Park: 6.76.7Oak ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 7.37.3Parent cityhost cityState: 7.17.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Oak Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.9 points from 5.8 to 7.7. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

9 tracts in Oak Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
41047000502 7.7 6,639 64% $1,264
41047001605 7.7 4,927 65% $1,321
41047001607 7.6 4,844 68% $1,509
41047001701 6.7 6,666 59% $1,301
41047001606 6.2 6,030 46% $1,244
41047001702 5.9 5,814 51% $1,374
41047000501 5.9 3,606 64% $1,501
41047001608 5.8 4,916 76% $1,190
41047000703 5.8 2,626 63% $1,211
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 93

Pop-weighted across 9 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 87%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 86%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Oak Park

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,364Total filings (sum)
  • 6.01%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.6%Peak year (2013)
  • 5.27%Latest filed (2016)
Frequently asked

About Oak Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Oak Park?

Oak Park scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 9 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Oak Park compare to Salem overall?

Oak Park scores 0.6 points lower than Salem overall (7.3/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,320 vs $1,400.
Q3

What is the average rent in Oak Park?

Average gross rent in Oak Park is $1,320/month (pop-weighted across 9 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Oak Park residents are renters?

62% of Oak Park households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Salem). The neighborhood has 46,068 residents.
Q5

Is Oak Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Oak Park sits in the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Oak Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Oak Park is census tract 41047000502 (score 7.7/10). Across the 9 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.8 to 7.7, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Oak Park for landlords?

Oak Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.7/10). Pop-weighted across 9 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Salem as a whole (7.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Oak Park?

Oak Park has 46,334 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (47.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (41.9%), Other / Multiracial (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Oak Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Salem

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Oak Park.

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