9 census tracts · pop 46,068 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.4/10
· range 6.7–7.8
Oak Park is a 9-tract neighborhood of Salem, OR, population 46,068. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.4/10, in the Elevated tier. 61% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Salem rate of 32.5%.
The severe-burden share is 36%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The poverty rate is 26%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10.
The 9 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.7 to 7.8, a 1.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. On the high side is housing-court posture at 7.2/10. Court records carry 3,364 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts.
Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 9.6% of renter households. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10.
The most recent observed rate, 5.4% in 2016, is well off that peak. Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Salem, it ranks #4 by risk, the middle third.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Grant and Highland. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,320, close to the Salem average.
Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $55,339.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.4 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
9 tracts · population-weighted
Oak Park vs SalemHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Oak Park
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
3,364Total filings (sum)
6.01%Avg annual filing rate
9.6%Peak year (2013)
5.27%Latest filed (2016)
Frequently asked
About Oak Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Oak Park?
Oak Park scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 9 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Oak Park compare to Salem overall?
Oak Park scores 1.0 points higher than Salem overall (6.4/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,320 vs $1,400.
Q3
What is the average rent in Oak Park?
Average gross rent in Oak Park is $1,320/month (pop-weighted across 9 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Oak Park residents are renters?
62% of Oak Park households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Salem). The neighborhood has 46,068 residents.
Q5
Is Oak Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Oak Park sits in the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Oak Park have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Oak Park is census tract 41047001701 (score 7.8/10). Across the 9 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.7 to 7.8, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7
How safe is Oak Park for landlords?
Oak Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.4/10). Pop-weighted across 9 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Salem as a whole (6.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Oak Park?
Oak Park has 46,334 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (47.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (41.9%), Other / Multiracial (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
