Within neighborhood
83
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,393 of 84,120 nationally
Arleta Eviction Risk: High , Portland
Tract 41051000601 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 5,577 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 41051000601 sits in the Arleta area of Portland eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.9/10. Population here is 5,577. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,228
Renter share28.9%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate19.8%
Median income$73,239
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.4848, -122.5666 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arleta scores 8.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
19.8% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,506 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Arleta compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 87%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 843Total filings over 16 yrs
- 7.51%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.8%Peak (2007)
- 37Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 18% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 273Total filings 2020-21
- 3.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.99×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arleta. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arleta
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Multnomah County average of 49.7%. It sits 1.5 points above the Multnomah County average of 7.4. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The filing record is not thin: 843 evictions over 16 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,506, 9% below the Portland average.
The worst year on record was 2007, when 11.8% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 7.5% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.8/10.
Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051000601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051000601?
Census tract 41051000601 in the Arleta neighborhood scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051000601?
Median gross rent is $1,506/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051000601?
19.8% of residents in tract 41051000601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,577.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051000601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 66th, minority 57th, housing 36th.
Q5
Is tract 41051000601 considered part of Arleta?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051000601 fall within Arleta (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051000601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 843 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051000601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.51% of renter households, peaking at 11.8% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051000601 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.99× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051000601 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051000601 scores 8.9/10, higher than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 41051000601 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Gateway
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Nob Hill
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Pleasant Valley
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Russellville
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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