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Keizer, Oregon eviction risk overview
Ranked #140 of 1,865 nationally

Keizer, OR Eviction Risk: HIGH

Marion County · Population 39,082

In 2026
Risk score
7.9
HIGH

97th percentile, Oregon.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.7 Average3.6 Now7.9
10 5 1976 · score 1.7 1977 · score 1.7 1978 · score 1.7 1979 · score 1.9 1980 · score 1.8 1981 · score 1.9 1982 · score 1.9 1983 · score 1.9 1984 · score 1.9 1985 · score 1.9 1986 · score 1.9 1987 · score 1.9 1988 · score 2.4 1989 · score 2.5 1990 · score 2.6 1991 · score 2.6 1992 · score 2.8 1993 · score 2.8 1994 · score 2.9 1995 · score 2.9 1996 · score 2.9 1997 · score 2.9 1998 · score 3.0 1999 · score 3.1 2000 · score 3.0 2001 · score 3.1 2002 · score 3.2 2003 · score 3.2 2004 · score 3.4 2005 · score 3.4 2006 · score 3.6 2007 · score 3.6 2008 · score 4.3 2009 · score 4.4 2010 · score 4.5 2011 · score 4.5 2012 · score 4.4 2013 · score 4.5 2014 · score 4.6 2015 · score 4.8 2016 · score 4.9 2017 · score 5.0 2018 · score 5.3 2019 · score 5.7 2020 · score 6.4 2021 · score 6.4 2022 · score 6.4 2023 · score 6.5 2024 · score 6.5 2025 · score 5.5 2026 · score 7.9

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.3 Regional 5.3 State 7.2 Economic 5.5 Supply 7.9 Rent Control 6.2 Eviction 6.6 Tenant 7.7 Housing 5.4 7.9 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +2.0% (2024)
    5.3
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.3
  3. State political climate
    Oregon legislature & governorship
    7.2
  4. Economic stress
    8.4% poverty · 4.6% unemp.
    5.5
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,424 average · 37.1% renters
    7.9
  6. Rent Control risk
    30.3% of income on rent
    6.2
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    140 days filing → judgment
    6.6
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    37.1% renters
    7.7
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.4
Geographic context

Risk heat across Keizer and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Keizer compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Marion County
Very High
#3 of 24 cities
Rank in county, 91st percentileBottomTop
#3 of 24 cities in Marion County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Oregon
Very High
#18 of 425 cities
Rank in state, 96th percentileBottomTop
#18 of 425 cities in Oregon for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Keizer risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Keizer: 7.97.9KeizerThis cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg in countyState: 7.47.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 7.9
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 7.9/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+6.2 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 140d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,424/mo. A contested eviction takes 140 days and costs $7,232-$16,493 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 37.1%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 39,082 residents, 37.1% rent. 30% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 8.4% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5.3
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.3 and 5.3 (GOP margin +2.0% (2024)). State climate at 7.2, a tenant-leaning legislature.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 7.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 7.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.6, housing court bias 5.4, rent-control risk 6.2. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.6 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.5
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.5. Supply constraint: 7.9. The numbers behind those: 8.4% poverty, 4.6% unemployment, 30% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Keizer sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Portland, OR · 149d · ~$11.8k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.4 Portland Salem, OR · 144d · ~$11.8k all-in ($82/day) · score 7.9 Salem Gresham, OR · 135d · ~$12.6k all-in ($94/day) · score 8.7 Gresham Hillsboro, OR · 133d · ~$11.2k all-in ($84/day) · score 7.2 Hillsboro Beaverton, OR · 144d · ~$12.8k all-in ($89/day) · score 7 Beaverton Corvallis, OR · 143d · ~$12.2k all-in ($85/day) · score 6.2 Corvallis Albany, OR · 131d · ~$11.7k all-in ($89/day) · score 7.7 Albany Tigard, OR · 145d · ~$12.8k all-in ($88/day) · score 6.9 Tigard Aloha, OR · 151d · ~$13.4k all-in ($89/day) · score 6.5 Aloha Eugene, OR · 127d · ~$13.3k all-in ($104/day) · score 7.5 Eugene Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Keizer
Keizer · 140d · ~$11.9k all-in ($85/day) · score 7.9 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Keizer, OR

Landlording in Keizer, Oregon, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.9/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Keizer is a city of 39,082 residents where 37.1% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 30.3% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,424/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Keizer eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.6/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Keizer closes 140 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Keizer's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.4/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Keizer runs $7,232 to $16,493 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 140 days of typical timeline and $1,424/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 7.7/10 in Keizer, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (6.2/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Oregon, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Keizer: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Oregon's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $16,493 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Keizer

Trap · 4 POINTS
Politically, Yamhill County voted Republican by 4 points in 2020, a baseline that correlates with landlord-neutral legislative pressure. Combined with 30.3% rent-to-income ratio, expect baseline enforcement of ORS 90 + SB 608.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What is "just cause" eviction in Keizer?

Just cause means you need a specific, legally valid reason to end a tenancy. Examples include non-payment of rent, lease violations, or owner move-in. You cannot evict simply because a lease term ended or you want to raise the rent significantly. Oregon has statewide just-cause requirements, making it harder for landlords to remove tenants without cause. This is a critical point for Keizer landlords, directly impacting eviction difficulty. See our Oregon tenant protections guide.

Q2

Can I raise the rent whenever I want in Keizer?

Oregon has statewide rent control. You can typically only raise the rent once every 12 months, and the increase is capped at 7% plus the annual change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). There are specific notice requirements for rent increases. You can't just slap a new number on the door. Consult our Oregon rent control rules for the latest details.

Q3

What if my Keizer tenant damages the property?

If the damage exceeds normal wear and tear, you can deduct the cost of repairs from the security deposit. You must provide an itemized list of deductions within 31 days of the tenant moving out. If the damages exceed the security deposit, you can pursue the tenant for the remaining balance, though collecting can be difficult. Thorough documentation (photos, receipts) is essential.

Q4

Do I have to accept Section 8 tenants in Keizer?

Yes, Oregon has statewide source-of-income protection. This means you cannot refuse to rent to someone solely because they use a housing voucher, like Section 8, to pay their rent. You must still apply your standard screening criteria equally to all applicants, regardless of their income source.

Q5

What are the rules for returning security deposits in Keizer?

You have 31 days from the date the tenant vacates and returns possession to either return the full security deposit or provide a written itemized statement of deductions. Failure to comply can result in you owing the tenant double the amount wrongfully withheld. Keep meticulous records of all deductions and communicate clearly. Learn more at Oregon security deposit rules.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 7.9/10 places Keizer in the 97th percentile of Oregon cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.