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Neighborhood · Johnstown, PA

Oakhurst Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 5,559 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.8–5.8

Oakhurst Homes spans 2 census tracts of Johnstown, PA, population 5,559. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.8/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 43% against 28.3% citywide, putting Oakhurst Homes 14.7% over its own city.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. 25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.2/10.

The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Average gross rent is $531, 18% below the Johnstown average of $644.

Court records carry 123 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. On the high side is housing-court posture at 7.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2006 at 11.9% of renter households. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Johnstown, it ranks #2 by risk, the middle third. Judgments average 5.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a like-for-like read, Prospect Homes and Moxham score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

With little internal variation, 5.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Oakhurst Homes vs Johnstown How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.0% +52%
Johnstown: 28.3%
Average gross rent
$531 -18%
Johnstown: $644
Average HH income
$36,764 +6%
Johnstown: $34,784
Poverty rate
29.8% -5%
Johnstown: 31.2%
Renter share
42.6% -5%
Johnstown: 44.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakhurst Homes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.8–5.8

Why Oakhurst Homes scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
43% renter households · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts
8.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
29.8% below poverty line · Range 7.4–7.5 across tracts
7.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.4 across tracts
1.2
Risk score comparison

Oakhurst Homes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Oakhurst Homes score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.8Oakhurst HomesNeighborhood4.4Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Oakhurst Homes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42021013600 5.8 3,140 32% $477
42021001200 5.8 2,419 57% $602
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 75

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 71%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 84%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Oakhurst Homes

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 123Total filings (sum)
  • 8.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.9%Peak year (2006)
  • 8.50%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Oakhurst Homes

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Oakhurst Homes?

Oakhurst Homes scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Oakhurst Homes compare to Johnstown overall?

Oakhurst Homes scores 1.4 points higher than Johnstown overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $531 vs $644.
Q3

What is the average rent in Oakhurst Homes?

Average gross rent in Oakhurst Homes is $531/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Oakhurst Homes residents are renters?

43% of Oakhurst Homes households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in Johnstown). The neighborhood has 5,559 residents.
Q5

Is Oakhurst Homes a high social-vulnerability area?

Oakhurst Homes sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Oakhurst Homes have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Oakhurst Homes is census tract 42021013600 (score 5.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.8 to 5.8, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Oakhurst Homes for landlords?

Oakhurst Homes carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Johnstown as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Oakhurst Homes?

Oakhurst Homes has 5,506 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18%), Other / Multiracial (9.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Oakhurst Homes

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Johnstown

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Oakhurst Homes.

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