5 census tracts · pop 7,995 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10
· range 5.7–5.9
Prospect Homes takes in 5 census tracts of Johnstown, PA and houses 7,995 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.8/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10.
The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 8.7/10.
Severe burden reaches 20%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.1/10. Cost burden runs 34% against 28.3% citywide, putting Prospect Homes 5.4% over its own city.
Filings are well documented here: 118 across 5 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 8.3% of renter households.
That places it #2 of 4 neighborhoods in Johnstown. Judgments average 3.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
For a like-for-like read, Oakhurst Homes and Moxham score within a fraction of it. Its 5 tracts score within 0.2 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
Average gross rent runs $641, close to the Johnstown average.
With little internal variation, 5.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Prospect Homes vs JohnstownHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport55%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Prospect Homes
Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
118Total filings (sum)
5.54%Avg annual filing rate
8.3%Peak year (2006)
5.54%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked
About Prospect Homes
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Prospect Homes?
Prospect Homes scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Prospect Homes compare to Johnstown overall?
Prospect Homes scores 1.4 points higher than Johnstown overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $641 vs $644.
Q3
What is the average rent in Prospect Homes?
Average gross rent in Prospect Homes is $641/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Prospect Homes residents are renters?
55% of Prospect Homes households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in Johnstown). The neighborhood has 7,995 residents.
Q5
Is Prospect Homes a high social-vulnerability area?
Prospect Homes sits in the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Prospect Homes have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Prospect Homes is census tract 42021013500 (score 5.9/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 5.9, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7
How safe is Prospect Homes for landlords?
Prospect Homes carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Johnstown as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Prospect Homes?
Prospect Homes has 7,933 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (68.4%), Other / Multiracial (12.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
