Neighborhood · Johnstown, PA

Prospect Homes Eviction Risk: Elevated

5 census tracts · pop 7,995 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10 · range 6.2–6.9

Prospect Homes is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Johnstown with 5 census tracts and a population of 7,995 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 34% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 20% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $641/month sits 0% lower than the Johnstown citywide average ($644).

Risk score

6.6

Elevated

5 tracts · population-weighted

Prospect Homes vs Johnstown How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

33.7% +19%

Johnstown: 28.3%

Average gross rent

$641 0%

Johnstown: $644

Average HH income

$31,983 -8%

Johnstown: $34,784

Poverty rate

36.6% +17%

Johnstown: 31.2%

Renter share

54.6% +22%

Johnstown: 44.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Prospect Homes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 6.2–6.9

Why Prospect Homes scores 6.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts

3.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts

3.8

Rent control risk

34% of income on rent · Range 5.4–5.8 across tracts

5.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.7 across tracts

3.6

Tenant organizing strength

55% renter households · Range 8.8–9.5 across tracts

9.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.4–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Economic stress

36.6% below poverty line · Range 6.8–10.0 across tracts

8.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.6 across tracts

2.1

Risk score comparison

Prospect Homes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Prospect Homes?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.7 points from 6.2 to 6.9. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

6.9 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.2

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

5 tracts in Prospect Homes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
42021013500	6.9	2,263	29%	$567
42021013400	6.6	2,439	26%	$705
42021000300	6.6	1,611	41%	$805
42021000100	6.6	978	45%	$382
42021000200	6.2	704	41%	$640

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 69

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 69%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 66%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 55%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Prospect Homes

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

118Total filings (sum)
5.54%Avg annual filing rate
8.3%Peak year (2006)
5.54%Latest filed (2006)

Frequently asked

About Prospect Homes

What is the eviction-risk score for Prospect Homes?

Prospect Homes scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Prospect Homes compare to Johnstown overall?

Prospect Homes scores 2.4 points higher than Johnstown overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $641 vs $644.

What is the average rent in Prospect Homes?

Average gross rent in Prospect Homes is $641/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Prospect Homes residents are renters?

55% of Prospect Homes households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in Johnstown). The neighborhood has 7,995 residents.

Is Prospect Homes a high social-vulnerability area?

Prospect Homes sits in the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Prospect Homes have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Prospect Homes is census tract 42021013500 (score 6.9/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.2 to 6.9, a spread of 0.7 points.

How safe is Prospect Homes for landlords?

Prospect Homes carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Johnstown as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Prospect Homes?

Prospect Homes has 7,933 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (68.4%), Other / Multiracial (12.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Prospect Homes

4.5 Roxbury 2 tracts · pop 4,709 5.5 Moxham 3 tracts · pop 5,025 6.8 Oakhurst Homes 2 tracts · pop 5,559

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Johnstown

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Prospect Homes.

6.8 Oakhurst Homes 2 tracts · pop 5,559 5.6 Moxham 3 tracts · pop 5,025 4.6 Roxbury 2 tracts · pop 4,709

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