Oakhurst Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Johnstown
Tract 42021013600 · Cambria County, PA · pop 3,140 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Census tract 42021013600 covers part of the Oakhurst Homes area of Johnstown, PA, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,140. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Johnstown and the region
Centroid at 40.3574, -78.9414 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakhurst Homes scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Oakhurst Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 35%Grade C
- 21%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 104Total filings over 1 yrs
- 11.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2006)
- 104Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Oakhurst Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Oakhurst Homes
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
It sits 1.7 points above the Cambria County average of 4.1. Average gross rent is $477, 26% below the Johnstown average.
On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7.5/10. Against Cambria County at 37.4%, 32% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Court records carry 104 eviction filings across 1 observed years. Filings peaked in 2006 at 11.9% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Johnstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 11.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 42021013600
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021013600?
What is the average rent in tract 42021013600?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42021013600?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42021013600?
Is tract 42021013600 considered part of Oakhurst Homes?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021013600?
How does tract 42021013600 compare to Johnstown overall?
Was tract 42021013600 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Johnstown
Top eight tracts in Johnstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.