Oakhurst Homes Eviction Risk: Elevated , Johnstown
Tract 42021013600 · Cambria County, PA · pop 3,140 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
How risky is the Oakhurst Homes neighborhood of Johnstown for landlords? Census tract 42021013600 scores 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 52nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
32% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $477 a month against an average household income of $32,443 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 56% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Johnstown and the region
Centroid at 40.3574, -78.9414 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakhurst Homes scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Oakhurst Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 35%Grade C
- 21%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 104Total filings over 1 yrs
- 11.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2006)
- 104Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Oakhurst Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Oakhurst Homes
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cambria County average of 4.9 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Part of this tract, about 21% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 42021013600
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021013600?
What is the average rent in tract 42021013600?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42021013600?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42021013600?
Is tract 42021013600 considered part of Oakhurst Homes?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021013600?
How does tract 42021013600 compare to Johnstown overall?
Was tract 42021013600 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Johnstown
Top eight tracts in Johnstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.