Oakhurst Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Johnstown
Tract 42021001200 · Cambria County, PA · pop 2,419 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 5.8/10, tract 42021001200 in the Oakhurst Homes area of Johnstown, PA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,419. Cost burden runs 57% here against 37.4% across Cambria County.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Johnstown and the region
Centroid at 40.3463, -78.9464 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakhurst Homes scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Oakhurst Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 74%Grade C
- 23%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 19Total filings over 1 yrs
- 4.09%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2006)
- 19Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Oakhurst Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Oakhurst Homes
Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.7 points above the Cambria County average of 4.1.
Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 19 evictions over 1 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2006, when 4.1% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 42021001200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021001200?
What is the average rent in tract 42021001200?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42021001200?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42021001200?
Is tract 42021001200 considered part of Oakhurst Homes?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021001200?
How does tract 42021001200 compare to Johnstown overall?
Was tract 42021001200 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Johnstown
Top eight tracts in Johnstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.