Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally
Oakhurst Homes Eviction Risk: Elevated , Johnstown
Tract 42021001200 · Cambria County, PA · pop 2,419 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Oakhurst Homes in Johnstown anchors census tract 42021001200, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $602 a month against an average household income of $42,372 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,464
Renter share24.9%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate29.9%
Median income$42,372
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Johnstown and the region
Centroid at 40.3463, -78.9464 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakhurst Homes scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Johnstown
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
29.9% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$602 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Johnstown
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Johnstown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Johnstown
7.5
How Oakhurst Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 74%Grade C
- 23%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 19Total filings over 1 yrs
- 4.09%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2006)
- 19Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Oakhurst Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oakhurst Homes
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cambria County average of 4.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 19 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 4.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.1% of renter households in 2006.
Part of this tract, about 23% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42021001200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021001200?
Census tract 42021001200 in the Oakhurst Homes neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42021001200?
Median gross rent is $602/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42021001200?
29.9% of residents in tract 42021001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,419.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42021001200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 65th, minority 25th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 42021001200 considered part of Oakhurst Homes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42021001200 fall within Oakhurst Homes (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021001200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 42021001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.09% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42021001200 compare to Johnstown overall?
Tract 42021001200 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Johnstown at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42021001200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 23% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Johnstown
Top eight tracts in Johnstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Oakhurst Homes
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Moxham
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Prospect Homes
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Prospect Homes
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Prospect Homes
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Prospect Homes
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Roxbury
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Moxham
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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