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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Academy Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Harrisburg

Tract 42043020900 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 3,420 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Eviction risk in the Academy Manor area of Harrisburg centers on tract 42043020900, which scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 3,420 residents. That is riskier than about 88% of US census tracts.

46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,311 a month while the average household earns $61,266 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 15% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,667
Renter share28.8%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$61,266

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Academy Manor
Moderate
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 14 tracts In Harrisburg
Low
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 67 tracts In Dauphin County
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#518 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Harrisburg and the region

Centroid at 40.2953, -76.9148 · click any tract to drill in

Why Academy Manor scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,311 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisburg
7.1

How Academy Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Academy Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 020900Harrisburg: 4.34.3Harrisburgparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 638Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 23.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.7%Peak (2003)
  • 100Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420430209002000: 90 filings (19.12/100 renter HHs)2001: 102 filings (21.67/100 renter HHs)2002: 110 filings (23.37/100 renter HHs)2003: 121 filings (25.70/100 renter HHs)2005: 115 filings (28.37/100 renter HHs)2006: 100 filings (24.67/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Academy Manor

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Dauphin County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 1% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was B ("Still Desirable"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42043020900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043020900?

Census tract 42043020900 in the Academy Manor neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42043020900?

Median gross rent is $1,311/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42043020900?

19.2% of residents in tract 42043020900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,420.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42043020900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 89th, minority 79th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 42043020900 considered part of Academy Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043020900 fall within Academy Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043020900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 638 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043020900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.82% of renter households, peaking at 25.7% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42043020900 compare to Harrisburg overall?

Tract 42043020900 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42043020900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Harrisburg

Top eight tracts in Harrisburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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