Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Hoverter Homes Eviction Risk: Elevated , Harrisburg
Tract 42043021400 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 5,339 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 7.3/10, tract 42043021400 in the Hoverter Homes area of Harrisburg, PA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,339. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 46%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,987
Renter share76.7%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate50.8%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Harrisburg and the region
Centroid at 40.2468, -76.8652 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hoverter Homes scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
50.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$735 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisburg
7.1
How Hoverter Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 8%Grade B
- 23%Grade C
- 11%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 965Total filings over 6 yrs
- 13.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.2%Peak (2001)
- 149Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 6 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hoverter Homes
The poverty rate is 51%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Dauphin County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.7 points. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.7/10.
30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10. This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Average gross rent is $735, 31% below the Harrisburg average. Court records carry 965 eviction filings across 6 observed years. Filings peaked in 2001 at 16.2% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 13.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 10/10. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42043021400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043021400?
Census tract 42043021400 in the Hoverter Homes neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42043021400?
Median gross rent is $735/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42043021400?
50.8% of residents in tract 42043021400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,339.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42043021400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 100th, minority 90th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 42043021400 considered part of Hoverter Homes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043021400 fall within Hoverter Homes (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043021400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 965 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043021400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.05% of renter households, peaking at 16.2% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42043021400 compare to Harrisburg overall?
Tract 42043021400 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisburg at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42043021400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Harrisburg
Top eight tracts in Harrisburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
New Fox Ridge
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Riverside
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Summit Terrace
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Mount Pleasant
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Bellevue Park
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Bellevue Park
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Camp Curtin
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Academy Manor
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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