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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,733 of 84,120 nationally

Hoverter Homes Eviction Risk: Elevated , Harrisburg

Tract 42043021400 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 5,339 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Hoverter Homes in Harrisburg is where census tract 42043021400 sits, home to 5,339 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.9/10. On the national scale it ranks #6,202 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is about $735 a month. Renters make up 77% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 46% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,987
Renter share76.7%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate50.8%

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Hoverter Homes
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 14 tracts In Harrisburg
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 67 tracts In Dauphin County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Harrisburg and the region

Centroid at 40.2468, -76.8652 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hoverter Homes scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
50.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$735 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisburg
7.1

How Hoverter Homes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hoverter Homes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.37.3This tracttract 021400Harrisburg: 4.34.3Harrisburgparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 965Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 13.05%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.2%Peak (2001)
  • 149Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420430214002000: 192 filings (15.91/100 renter HHs)2001: 196 filings (16.24/100 renter HHs)2002: 136 filings (11.27/100 renter HHs)2003: 151 filings (12.51/100 renter HHs)2005: 141 filings (10.87/100 renter HHs)2006: 149 filings (11.49/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 6 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hoverter Homes

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Dauphin County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 100th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 965 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 13.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.2% of renter households in 2001.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42043021400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043021400?

Census tract 42043021400 in the Hoverter Homes neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42043021400?

Median gross rent is $735/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42043021400?

50.8% of residents in tract 42043021400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,339.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42043021400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 100th, minority 90th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 42043021400 considered part of Hoverter Homes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043021400 fall within Hoverter Homes (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043021400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 965 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043021400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.05% of renter households, peaking at 16.2% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42043021400 compare to Harrisburg overall?

Tract 42043021400 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42043021400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Harrisburg

Top eight tracts in Harrisburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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