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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Camp Curtin Eviction Risk: Elevated , Harrisburg

Tract 42043025500 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 3,917 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 42043025500 covers part of the Camp Curtin area of Harrisburg, PA, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,917. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 34% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,399
Renter share64.2%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate38.0%
Median income$50,148

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Camp Curtin
Moderate
Within parent city
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 14 tracts In Harrisburg
Elevated
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 67 tracts In Dauphin County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#207 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Harrisburg and the region

Centroid at 40.2813, -76.8913 · click any tract to drill in

Why Camp Curtin scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
38.0% poverty · this tract
9.5
Supply constraint
$1,225 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisburg
7.1

How Camp Curtin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Camp Curtin risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0255005.9Harrisburgparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Camp Curtin

It sits 2.7 points above the Dauphin County average of 4.6. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, economic stress reads 9.5/10.

Cost burden runs 47% here against 39.0% across Dauphin County. Average gross rent is $1,225, 15% above the Harrisburg average.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Harrisburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.2/10.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 42043025500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043025500?

Census tract 42043025500 in the Camp Curtin neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42043025500?

Median gross rent is $1,225/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42043025500?

38.0% of residents in tract 42043025500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,917.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42043025500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 88th, minority 86th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 42043025500 considered part of Camp Curtin?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043025500 fall within Camp Curtin (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 42043025500 compare to Harrisburg overall?

Tract 42043025500 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisburg at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42043025500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 27% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Harrisburg

Top eight tracts in Harrisburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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