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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

New Fox Ridge Eviction Risk: Elevated , Harrisburg

Tract 42043020300 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 2,252 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 7.3/10, tract 42043020300 in the New Fox Ridge area of Harrisburg, PA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,252 residents. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 57% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,356
Renter share80.5%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate38.5%
Median income$40,870

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In New Fox Ridge
Very High
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 14 tracts In Harrisburg
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 67 tracts In Dauphin County
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#207 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Harrisburg and the region

Centroid at 40.2700, -76.8862 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Fox Ridge scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
38.5% poverty · this tract
9.6
Supply constraint
$1,014 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisburg
7.1

How New Fox Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Fox Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0203005.9Harrisburgparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 431Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 8.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.4%Peak (2000)
  • 51Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42043020300
Filings dropped 50% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within New Fox Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Fox Ridge

It sits 2.7 points above the Dauphin County average of 4.6. Running hot, economic stress reads 9.6/10. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10. This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Cost burden runs 29% here against 39.0% across Dauphin County.

Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Court records carry 431 eviction filings across 6 observed years. The worst year on record was 2000, when 11.4% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Harrisburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 8.5% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.2/10.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42043020300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043020300?

Census tract 42043020300 in the New Fox Ridge neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42043020300?

Median gross rent is $1,014/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42043020300?

38.5% of residents in tract 42043020300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,252.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42043020300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 97th, minority 82th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 42043020300 considered part of New Fox Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043020300 fall within New Fox Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043020300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 431 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043020300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.53% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42043020300 compare to Harrisburg overall?

Tract 42043020300 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisburg at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42043020300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 69% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Harrisburg

Top eight tracts in Harrisburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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