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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,782 of 84,120 nationally

Riverside Eviction Risk: Elevated , Harrisburg

Tract 42043021100 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 3,245 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

How risky is the Riverside neighborhood of Harrisburg for landlords? Census tract 42043021100 scores 7.3/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #2,494 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $33,750 a year. Renters make up 65% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 35% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,242
Renter share64.9%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate53.2%
Median income$33,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Riverside
Moderate
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 14 tracts In Harrisburg
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 67 tracts In Dauphin County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Harrisburg and the region

Centroid at 40.2982, -76.8854 · click any tract to drill in

Why Riverside scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
53.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisburg
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisburg
7.1

How Riverside compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Riverside risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.07.0This tracttract 021100Harrisburg: 4.34.3Harrisburgparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 988Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 28.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 37.5%Peak (2003)
  • 170Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420430211002000: 146 filings (25.96/100 renter HHs)2001: 128 filings (22.76/100 renter HHs)2002: 142 filings (25.25/100 renter HHs)2003: 211 filings (37.51/100 renter HHs)2005: 191 filings (32.29/100 renter HHs)2006: 170 filings (28.74/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 16% over the past 6 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Riverside

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Dauphin County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 6% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 988 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 28.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 37.5% of renter households in 2003.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42043021100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043021100?

Census tract 42043021100 in the Riverside neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 42043021100?

53.2% of residents in tract 42043021100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,245.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 42043021100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 99th, minority 96th, housing 85th.
Q4

Is tract 42043021100 considered part of Riverside?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043021100 fall within Riverside (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043021100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 988 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043021100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 28.75% of renter households, peaking at 37.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 42043021100 compare to Harrisburg overall?

Tract 42043021100 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42043021100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Harrisburg

Top eight tracts in Harrisburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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