Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Lakeside Eviction Risk: Moderate , Erie
Tract 42049000600 · Erie County, PA · pop 3,316 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 42049000600 covers part of the Lakeside area of Erie, PA, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,316. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,199
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate25.4%
Median income$46,679
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.1458, -80.0515 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakeside scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Erie
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
25.4% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$541 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erie
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erie
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erie
5.0
How Lakeside compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 35%Grade B
- 12%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,194Total filings over 7 yrs
- 27.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 31.8%Peak (2001)
- 157Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lakeside
At $541 a month, rents run 38% under what the rest of Erie commands. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Against the Erie County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.
The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 1,194 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2001, when 31.8% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Erie. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 27.5% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $46,679, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42049000600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049000600?
Census tract 42049000600 in the Lakeside neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42049000600?
Median gross rent is $541/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049000600?
25.4% of residents in tract 42049000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,316.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049000600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 96th, minority 66th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 42049000600 considered part of Lakeside?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049000600 fall within Lakeside (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049000600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,194 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049000600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.50% of renter households, peaking at 31.8% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42049000600 compare to Erie overall?
Tract 42049000600 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Erie at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42049000600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Bayfront
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Baldwin Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Little Italy
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Midtown
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Eastside Eagles
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Burton
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Eastlawn Hills
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Downtown Erie
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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