Bayfront Eviction Risk: Elevated , Erie
Tract 42049001000 · Erie County, PA · pop 3,127 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 42049001000 covers Bayfront in Erie in Pennsylvania. Home to 3,127 residents, it scores 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #17,230 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $795 a month while the average household earns $43,750 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 71% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.1181, -80.1033 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bayfront scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Bayfront compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 41%Grade B
- 40%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 450Total filings over 7 yrs
- 6.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.8%Peak (2006)
- 80Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bayfront. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Bayfront
What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Erie eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 42049001000
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049001000?
What is the average rent in tract 42049001000?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049001000?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049001000?
Is tract 42049001000 considered part of Bayfront?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049001000?
How does tract 42049001000 compare to Erie overall?
Was tract 42049001000 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.