Midtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Erie

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 56%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against Erie County at 42.3%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $24,911, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Against the Erie County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.

The filing record is not thin: 418 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2001, when 17.0% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Erie. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 15.8% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.