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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,782 of 84,120 nationally

Eastside Eagles Eviction Risk: Elevated , Erie

Tract 42049001400 · Erie County, PA · pop 2,349 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 42049001400 runs through Eastside Eagles in Erie. With 2,349 residents, it scores 6.6/10 for landlords. It lands near the 88th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 62% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $758 monthly, set against $16,435 in average yearly household income, roughly 55% of income at the averages. About 76% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 28% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units609
Renter share75.7%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate72.8%
Median income$16,435

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Eastside Eagles
Very High
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 31 tracts In Erie
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 73 tracts In Erie County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Erie and the region

Centroid at 42.1266, -80.0636 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastside Eagles scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Erie
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
72.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$758 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erie
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erie
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erie
5.0

How Eastside Eagles compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eastside Eagles risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.07.0This tracttract 001400Erie: 4.84.8Erieparent cityCounty: 4.94.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 426Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 16.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.4%Peak (2001)
  • 60Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420490014002000: 59 filings (15.73/100 renter HHs)2001: 69 filings (18.40/100 renter HHs)2002: 53 filings (14.13/100 renter HHs)2003: 68 filings (18.13/100 renter HHs)2004: 62 filings (16.53/100 renter HHs)2005: 55 filings (15.41/100 renter HHs)2006: 60 filings (16.81/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eastside Eagles. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastside Eagles

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Erie eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 426 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 16.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.4% of renter households in 2001.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 49% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42049001400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049001400?

Census tract 42049001400 in the Eastside Eagles neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42049001400?

Median gross rent is $758/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42049001400?

72.8% of residents in tract 42049001400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,349.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42049001400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 56th, minority 67th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 42049001400 considered part of Eastside Eagles?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049001400 fall within Eastside Eagles (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049001400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 426 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049001400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.45% of renter households, peaking at 18.4% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42049001400 compare to Erie overall?

Tract 42049001400 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Erie at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42049001400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 49% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Erie

Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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