Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Walczak Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Erie
Tract 42049002700 · Erie County, PA · pop 6,474 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
42049002700 is a census tract in the Walczak Park area of Erie, PA. It scores 3.8/10 for landlords. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.3/10.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,915
Renter share18.8%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$57,292
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.1166, -80.0267 · click any tract to drill in
Why Walczak Park scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Erie
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$708 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erie
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erie
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erie
5.0
How Walczak Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 32%Grade C
- 21%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 107Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.07%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.4%Peak (2000)
- 19Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Walczak Park
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
Average gross rent is $708, 19% below the Erie average. Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Court records carry 107 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2000 at 3.4% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.4/10. Against average income of $57,292, annual rent is just 15%.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42049002700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049002700?
Census tract 42049002700 in the Walczak Park neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42049002700?
Median gross rent is $708/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049002700?
7.0% of residents in tract 42049002700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,474.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049002700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 60th, minority 33th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 42049002700 considered part of Walczak Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049002700 fall within Walczak Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049002700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 107 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049002700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.07% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42049002700 compare to Erie overall?
Tract 42049002700 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Erie at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42049002700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
West Bayfront
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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Bayfront
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Baldwin Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Little Italy
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Midtown
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Eastside Eagles
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Burton
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Eastlawn Hills
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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