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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Walczak Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Erie

Tract 42049002700 · Erie County, PA · pop 6,474 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

For landlords sizing up the Walczak Park area of Erie, census tract 42049002700 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. On the national scale it ranks #40,285 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $708 monthly, set against $57,292 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 10% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,915
Renter share18.8%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$57,292

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Walczak Park
Moderate
Within parent city
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 31 tracts In Erie
Very Low
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 73 tracts In Erie County
Moderate
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,035 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Erie and the region

Centroid at 42.1166, -80.0267 · click any tract to drill in

Why Walczak Park scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Erie
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$708 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erie
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erie
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erie
5.0

How Walczak Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Walczak Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 002700Erie: 4.84.8Erieparent cityCounty: 4.94.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 107Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 2.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.4%Peak (2000)
  • 19Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420490027002000: 24 filings (3.40/100 renter HHs)2001: 15 filings (2.13/100 renter HHs)2002: 8 filings (1.13/100 renter HHs)2003: 13 filings (1.84/100 renter HHs)2004: 15 filings (2.13/100 renter HHs)2005: 13 filings (1.57/100 renter HHs)2006: 19 filings (2.29/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Walczak Park

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Erie eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Erie County average of 5.6 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 107 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 2.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.4% of renter households in 2000.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42049002700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049002700?

Census tract 42049002700 in the Walczak Park neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42049002700?

Median gross rent is $708/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42049002700?

7.0% of residents in tract 42049002700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,474.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42049002700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 60th, minority 33th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 42049002700 considered part of Walczak Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049002700 fall within Walczak Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049002700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 107 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049002700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.07% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42049002700 compare to Erie overall?

Tract 42049002700 scores 4.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Erie at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42049002700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Erie

Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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