Neighborhood · Lancaster, PA

East Side Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 6,325 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.7–5

East Side is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Lancaster with 2 census tracts and a population of 6,325 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 33% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 19% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,225/month sits 1% lower than the Lancaster citywide average ($1,240).

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

East Side vs Lancaster How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

33.0% +14%

Lancaster: 28.9%

Average gross rent

$1,225 -1%

Lancaster: $1,240

Average HH income

$82,641 +30%

Lancaster: $63,421

Poverty rate

13.2% -36%

Lancaster: 20.7%

Renter share

54.2% +5%

Lancaster: 51.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across East Side and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.7–5

Why East Side scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts

4.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts

4.8

Rent control risk

33% of income on rent · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Tenant organizing strength

54% renter households · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts

9.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts

6.9

Economic stress

13.2% below poverty line · Range 2.9–3.8 across tracts

3.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–3.9 across tracts

3.8

Risk score comparison

East Side vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in East Side

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
42071000200	5	2,853	41%	$1,202
42071000700	4.7	3,472	26%	$1,243

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 62

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 58%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 42%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 63%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in East Side

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,070Total filings (sum)
14.03%Avg annual filing rate
17.0%Peak year (2006)
15.83%Latest filed (2006)

Frequently asked

About East Side

What is the eviction-risk score for East Side?

East Side scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does East Side compare to Lancaster overall?

East Side scores 0.7 points higher than Lancaster overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 33% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,225 vs $1,240.

What is the average rent in East Side?

Average gross rent in East Side is $1,225/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of East Side residents are renters?

54% of East Side households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lancaster). The neighborhood has 6,325 residents.

Is East Side a high social-vulnerability area?

East Side sits in the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in East Side have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in East Side is census tract 42071000200 (score 5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 5, a spread of 0.3 points.

How safe is East Side for landlords?

East Side carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lancaster as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of East Side?

East Side has 6,725 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (39.5%), Hispanic / Latino (32.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (25.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near East Side

5.5 Ross 2 tracts · pop 8,308 4.5 Sunnyside 2 tracts · pop 7,022 4.3 College Park 2 tracts · pop 8,074 4.6 Prospect Heights 3 tracts · pop 15,588 4 Georgetown Hills 2 tracts · pop 11,979 5.6 Crossgates Neighborhood 2 tracts · pop 9,341

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lancaster

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to East Side.

4.5 Sunnyside 2 tracts · pop 7,022 4.5 Prospect Heights 3 tracts · pop 15,588 4.5 College Park 2 tracts · pop 8,074 4.4 Eastland Hills 1 tracts · pop 5,314 5.3 Chestnut Hill 1 tracts · pop 3,145 4.3 Grandview Heights 1 tracts · pop 6,802

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