Neighborhood · Lancaster, PA

Chestnut Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,145 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 5.3–5.3

Chestnut Hill is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Lancaster with 1 census tract and a population of 3,145 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 41% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 13% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,090/month sits 12% lower than the Lancaster citywide average ($1,240).

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Chestnut Hill vs Lancaster How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

41.2% +43%

Lancaster: 28.9%

Average gross rent

$1,090 -12%

Lancaster: $1,240

Average HH income

$73,450 +16%

Lancaster: $63,421

Poverty rate

17.8% -14%

Lancaster: 20.7%

Renter share

54.9% +7%

Lancaster: 51.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chestnut Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.3–5.3

Why Chestnut Hill scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts

4.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts

4.8

Rent control risk

41% of income on rent · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Tenant organizing strength

55% renter households · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts

9.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts

6.9

Economic stress

17.8% below poverty line · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts

2.8

Risk score comparison

Chestnut Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Chestnut Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
42071000600	5.3	3,145	41%	$1,090

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 59

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 58%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 20%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 54%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 80%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Chestnut Hill

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

567Total filings (sum)
8.76%Avg annual filing rate
10.7%Peak year (2006)
10.67%Latest filed (2006)

Frequently asked

About Chestnut Hill

What is the eviction-risk score for Chestnut Hill?

Chestnut Hill scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Chestnut Hill compare to Lancaster overall?

Chestnut Hill scores 1.2 points higher than Lancaster overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,090 vs $1,240.

What is the average rent in Chestnut Hill?

Average gross rent in Chestnut Hill is $1,090/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Chestnut Hill residents are renters?

55% of Chestnut Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lancaster). The neighborhood has 3,145 residents.

Is Chestnut Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Chestnut Hill sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Chestnut Hill for landlords?

Chestnut Hill carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lancaster as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Chestnut Hill?

Chestnut Hill has 3,079 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (65.6%), Hispanic / Latino (29.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (2.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Chestnut Hill

4.3 College Park 2 tracts · pop 8,074 5.5 Ross 2 tracts · pop 8,308 4.6 Prospect Heights 3 tracts · pop 15,588 4.9 East Side 2 tracts · pop 6,325 4.5 Sunnyside 2 tracts · pop 7,022 4 Georgetown Hills 2 tracts · pop 11,979

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lancaster

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Chestnut Hill.

5.4 Stadium District 1 tracts · pop 3,017 5.4 Ross 2 tracts · pop 8,308 5.5 Central Business District 1 tracts · pop 2,464 5.6 West End 1 tracts · pop 3,077 5.6 Conestoga Heights 1 tracts · pop 4,470 4.8 East Side 2 tracts · pop 6,325

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