East Side Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lancaster
Tract 42071000700 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 3,472 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 42071000700 sits in the East Side area of Lancaster eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. Population here is 3,472. 26% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Lancaster County average of 41.1%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lancaster and the region
Centroid at 40.0408, -76.2946 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Side scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow East Side compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 49%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 744Total filings over 7 yrs
- 15.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.0%Peak (2006)
- 128Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Side. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in East Side
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. 68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. Against the Lancaster County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
Court records carry 744 eviction filings across 7 observed years. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.9/10.
Filings peaked in 2006 at 17.0% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lancaster. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 15.4% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 42071000700
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071000700?
What is the average rent in tract 42071000700?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42071000700?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42071000700?
Is tract 42071000700 considered part of East Side?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071000700?
How does tract 42071000700 compare to Lancaster overall?
Was tract 42071000700 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster
Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.