Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
East Side Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lancaster
Tract 42071000700 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 3,472 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Eviction risk in East Side in Lancaster centers on tract 42071000700, which scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,472 residents. On the national scale it ranks #43,352 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
26% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,243 a month while the average household earns $82,500 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 68% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 50%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,186
Renter share67.9%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$82,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
30
th percentile
Low
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lancaster and the region
Centroid at 40.0408, -76.2946 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Side scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,243 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.9
How East Side compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 49%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 744Total filings over 7 yrs
- 15.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.0%Peak (2006)
- 128Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 24% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Side. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Side
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 744 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 15.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.0% of renter households in 2006.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42071000700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071000700?
Census tract 42071000700 in the East Side neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42071000700?
Median gross rent is $1,243/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42071000700?
11.5% of residents in tract 42071000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,472.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42071000700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 36th, minority 71th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 42071000700 considered part of East Side?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071000700 fall within East Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071000700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 744 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071000700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.36% of renter households, peaking at 17.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42071000700 compare to Lancaster overall?
Tract 42071000700 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42071000700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster
Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Mussertown
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Stevens
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Cabbage Hill
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Southside
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Ross
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Prospect Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Conestoga Heights
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West End
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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