1 census tracts · pop 3,707 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10
· range 4.7–4.7
Penn Rose Park maps to a single census tract in Lancaster, PA, population 3,707. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.7/10, Moderate tier. At $2,127 a month, rents sit 72% over what the rest of Lancaster commands.
What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 52.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. 29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.7/10. Against a Lancaster baseline of 28.9%, 35% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Among the 17 mapped neighborhoods of Lancaster, it ranks #17 by risk, the lower third. At 22% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $96,250.
One tract means one number: 4.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Penn Rose Park vs LancasterHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport20%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked
About Penn Rose Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Penn Rose Park?
Penn Rose Park scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Penn Rose Park compare to Lancaster overall?
Penn Rose Park scores 0.5 points lower than Lancaster overall (5.2/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,127 vs $1,240.
Q3
What is the average rent in Penn Rose Park?
Average gross rent in Penn Rose Park is $2,127/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Penn Rose Park residents are renters?
22% of Penn Rose Park households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lancaster). The neighborhood has 3,707 residents.
Q5
Is Penn Rose Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Penn Rose Park sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Penn Rose Park for landlords?
Penn Rose Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lancaster as a whole (5.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Penn Rose Park?
Penn Rose Park has 3,416 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (58.5%), Hispanic / Latino (18.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
