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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Penn Rose Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lancaster

Tract 42071011806 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 3,707 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 42071011806 sits in the Penn Rose Park area of Lancaster eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. It is home to 3,707 residents. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 14% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,198
Renter share22.0%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$96,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Penn Rose Park
Moderate
Within parent city
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 21 tracts In Lancaster
Very Low
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#34 of 116 tracts In Lancaster County
Elevated
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#1,400 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 40.0818, -76.3242 · click any tract to drill in

Why Penn Rose Park scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,127 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.9

How Penn Rose Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Penn Rose Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0118065.2Lancasterparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Penn Rose Park

At $2,127 a month, rents run 72% over what the rest of Lancaster commands. The voucher gap is 52.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.3/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.7/10. 34% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Lancaster County average of 41.1%.

Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Lancaster County average of 4.2 closely.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $96,250.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42071011806

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071011806?

Census tract 42071011806 in the Penn Rose Park neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42071011806?

Median gross rent is $2,127/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42071011806?

6.8% of residents in tract 42071011806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,707.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42071011806?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 97th, minority 60th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 42071011806 considered part of Penn Rose Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071011806 fall within Penn Rose Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 42071011806 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 42071011806 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Lancaster at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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