Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally
Mill Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated , Philadelphia
Tract 42101010500 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 4,251 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 42101010500 covers the Mill Creek area of Philadelphia in Pennsylvania. Home to 4,251 residents, it scores 7.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 95% of US census tracts.
45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $798 a month against an average household income of $38,581 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 72% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,551
Renter share71.5%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate32.8%
Median income$38,581
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9666, -75.2142 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mill Creek scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
32.8% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$798 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Mill Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 83%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 437Total filings over 4 yrs
- 10.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.8%Peak (2016)
- 125Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 40% over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 302Total filings 2020-21
- 3.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.39×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mill Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mill Creek
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Philadelphia County average of 6.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 437 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 10.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.8% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101010500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101010500?
Census tract 42101010500 in the Mill Creek neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101010500?
Median gross rent is $798/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101010500?
32.8% of residents in tract 42101010500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,251.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101010500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 96th, minority 94th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 42101010500 considered part of Mill Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101010500 fall within Mill Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101010500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 437 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101010500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.64% of renter households, peaking at 12.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101010500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.39× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101010500 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101010500 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101010500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 83% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Somerville
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Northwood
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Juniata
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Hartranft
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Carroll Park
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Kensington
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West Kensington
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Central
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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