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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Tioga Park Eviction Risk: High , Philadelphia

Tract 42101018801 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 3,794 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 42101018801 sits in the Tioga Park area of Philadelphia eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. Population here is 3,794. The severe-burden share is 57%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 57% Stable renters 13% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,098
Renter share69.4%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate73.9%
Median income$22,349

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Tioga Park
Very High
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 408 tracts In Philadelphia
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 408 tracts In Philadelphia County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region

Centroid at 39.9963, -75.1080 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tioga Park scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
73.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,256 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5

How Tioga Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tioga Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 0188016.6Philadelphiaparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 414Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 8.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.60×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tioga Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tioga Park

Against Philadelphia County at 49.1%, 82% of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 67% of average household income of $22,349, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 74%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Against the Philadelphia County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

Average gross rent is $1,256, 10% below the Philadelphia average. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.9/10.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 3.4 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42101018801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101018801?

Census tract 42101018801 in the Tioga Park neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42101018801?

Median gross rent is $1,256/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42101018801?

73.9% of residents in tract 42101018801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,794.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42101018801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 99th, minority 85th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 42101018801 considered part of Tioga Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101018801 fall within Tioga Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 42101018801 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 42101018801 compare to Philadelphia overall?

Tract 42101018801 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42101018801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia

Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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