3 census tracts · pop 9,353 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10
· range 3.6–4.8
Downtown Warren takes in 3 census tracts of Warren, PA, population 9,353. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.3/10, in the Moderate tier. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 25% of renter households.
What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3.6 to 4.8. A 1.2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.
12% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Filings are well documented here: 253 across 3 observed tracts. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.9/10.
Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 3.5% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 2.3% in 2006 against a 3.5% peak. Against average income of $52,850, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion.
Average gross rent runs $789, close to the Warren average. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown Warren vs WarrenHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
24.6%+7%
Warren: 22.9%
Average gross rent
$789+2%
Warren: $771
Average HH income
$52,850+4%
Warren: $50,877
Poverty rate
11.6%-1%
Warren: 11.7%
Renter share
39.6%+5%
Warren: 37.6%
Geographic context
Risk heat across Downtown Warren and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.6–4.8
Why Downtown Warren scores 4.3
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Rent control risk
25% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Economic stress
11.6% below poverty line · Range 2.2–3.9 across tracts
2.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–5.5 across tracts
3.7
Risk score comparison
Downtown Warren vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
Variance across tracts
How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Downtown Warren?
Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.
Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from
3.6 to
4.8.
Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority7%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport42%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Downtown Warren
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
253Total filings (sum)
1.97%Avg annual filing rate
3.5%Peak year (2005)
2.27%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked
About Downtown Warren
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown Warren?
Downtown Warren scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Downtown Warren compare to Warren overall?
Downtown Warren scores 0.3 points higher than Warren overall (4/10). Renters spend 25% of income on rent vs 23% citywide. Average rent: $789 vs $771.
Q3
What is the average rent in Downtown Warren?
Average gross rent in Downtown Warren is $789/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Downtown Warren residents are renters?
40% of Downtown Warren households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Warren). The neighborhood has 9,353 residents.
Q5
Is Downtown Warren a high social-vulnerability area?
Downtown Warren sits in the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Downtown Warren have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown Warren is census tract 42123970900 (score 4.8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 4.8, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7
How safe is Downtown Warren for landlords?
Downtown Warren carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Warren as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown Warren?
Downtown Warren has 9,273 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (95.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (1.9%), Other / Multiracial (1.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
