Neighborhood · Warren, PA

Downtown Warren Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 9,353 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 3.9–4.8

Downtown Warren is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Warren with 3 census tracts and a population of 9,353 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 25% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 12% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $789/month sits 2% higher than the Warren citywide average ($771).

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Downtown Warren vs Warren How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

24.6% +7%

Warren: 22.9%

Average gross rent

$789 +2%

Warren: $771

Average HH income

$52,850 +4%

Warren: $50,877

Poverty rate

11.6% -1%

Warren: 11.7%

Renter share

39.6% +5%

Warren: 37.6%

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown Warren and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.9–4.8

Why Downtown Warren scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts

3.7

Rent control risk

25% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts

3.1

Tenant organizing strength

40% renter households · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts

8.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts

4.7

Economic stress

11.6% below poverty line · Range 2.2–3.9 across tracts

2.9

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–5.5 across tracts

3.7

Risk score comparison

Downtown Warren vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Downtown Warren?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.9 points from 3.9 to 4.8. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

4.8 4.4 3.9

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Downtown Warren

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
42123970900	4.8	3,389	30%	$639
42123970800	4.4	2,938	37%	$796
42123970700	3.9	3,026	7%	$949

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 35

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 37%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 59%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 7%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 42%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown Warren

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

253Total filings (sum)
1.97%Avg annual filing rate
3.5%Peak year (2005)
2.27%Latest filed (2006)

Frequently asked

About Downtown Warren

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown Warren?

Downtown Warren scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Downtown Warren compare to Warren overall?

Downtown Warren scores 0.7 points higher than Warren overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 25% of income on rent vs 23% citywide. Average rent: $789 vs $771.

What is the average rent in Downtown Warren?

Average gross rent in Downtown Warren is $789/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Downtown Warren residents are renters?

40% of Downtown Warren households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Warren). The neighborhood has 9,353 residents.

Is Downtown Warren a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown Warren sits in the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Downtown Warren have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown Warren is census tract 42123970900 (score 4.8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.9 to 4.8, a spread of 0.9 points.

How safe is Downtown Warren for landlords?

Downtown Warren carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Warren as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown Warren?

Downtown Warren has 9,273 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (95.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (1.9%), Other / Multiracial (1.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

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