Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Warren Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42123970900 · Warren County, PA · pop 3,389 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 42123970900 covers part of the Downtown Warren area of Warren, PA, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,742
Renter share42.8%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$45,697
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Warren and the region
Centroid at 41.8361, -79.1282 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Warren scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Warren
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$639 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warren
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warren
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warren
4.7
How Downtown Warren compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 7%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 100Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.6%Peak (2003)
- 15Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Warren. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Warren
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2/10. Against the Warren County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $639 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Warren commands.
Against Warren County at 24.7%, 30% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.8/10. Court records carry 100 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2003 at 2.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 4.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $45,697, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42123970900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42123970900?
Census tract 42123970900 in the Downtown Warren neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42123970900?
Median gross rent is $639/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42123970900?
15.5% of residents in tract 42123970900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,389.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42123970900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 46th, minority 7th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 42123970900 considered part of Downtown Warren?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42123970900 fall within Downtown Warren (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42123970900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 100 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42123970900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.03% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42123970900 compare to Warren overall?
Tract 42123970900 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Warren at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warren; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Warren
Top eight tracts in Warren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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