Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Warren Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 42123970700 · Warren County, PA · pop 3,026 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 42123970700 sits in the Downtown Warren area of Warren, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.6/10. Against Warren County at 24.7%, 7% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,209
Renter share16.0%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate9.9%
Median income$72,964
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Warren and the region
Centroid at 41.8546, -79.1405 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Warren scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Warren
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
9.9% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$949 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warren
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warren
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warren
4.7
How Downtown Warren compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 1%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 26Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.1%Peak (2000)
- 4Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Warren. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Warren
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10. At $949 a month, rents run 23% over what the rest of Warren commands.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.5/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.8/10. Court records carry 26 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2000 at 2.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.5/10.
Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $72,964, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Warren County average of 3.7 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42123970700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42123970700?
Census tract 42123970700 in the Downtown Warren neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42123970700?
Median gross rent is $949/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 7% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42123970700?
9.9% of residents in tract 42123970700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,026.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42123970700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 59th, minority 1th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 42123970700 considered part of Downtown Warren?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42123970700 fall within Downtown Warren (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42123970700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42123970700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.75% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42123970700 compare to Warren overall?
Tract 42123970700 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Warren at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warren; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Warren
Top eight tracts in Warren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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