Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Warren Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42123970800 · Warren County, PA · pop 2,938 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 42123970800 covers the Downtown Warren neighborhood of Warren, home to 2,938 residents. For landlords it grades $1/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 12% of US census tracts.
About 37% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $796 monthly, set against $40,385 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,398
Renter share60.4%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$40,385
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Warren and the region
Centroid at 41.8417, -79.1562 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Warren scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Warren
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$796 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warren
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warren
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warren
4.7
How Downtown Warren compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 13%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 127Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.13%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.5%Peak (2005)
- 20Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 43% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Warren. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Warren
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Warren, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Warren County average of 3.7 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 127 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 2.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.5% of renter households in 2005.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42123970800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42123970800?
Census tract 42123970800 in the Downtown Warren neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42123970800?
Median gross rent is $796/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42123970800?
8.9% of residents in tract 42123970800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,938.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42123970800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 74th, minority 13th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 42123970800 considered part of Downtown Warren?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42123970800 fall within Downtown Warren (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42123970800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 127 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42123970800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.13% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42123970800 compare to Warren overall?
Tract 42123970800 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Warren at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warren; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Warren
Top eight tracts in Warren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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