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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Canterbury Eviction Risk: Moderate , York

Tract 42133010300 · York County, PA · pop 1,601 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

The Elevated-tier score of 6.4/10 for census tract 42133010300 reflects conditions in the Canterbury area of York, Pennsylvania. It lands near the 84th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,267 monthly, set against $80,645 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 22% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 11% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units638
Renter share22.4%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$80,645

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Canterbury
Moderate
Within parent city
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 17 tracts In York
Very Low
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 108 tracts In York County
High
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#1,158 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across York and the region

Centroid at 39.9771, -76.7195 · click any tract to drill in

Why Canterbury scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from York
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,267 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from York
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from York
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from York
7.7

How Canterbury compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Canterbury risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 010300York: 4.34.3Yorkparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 40Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 3.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.5%Peak (2003)
  • 4Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 421330103002000: 3 filings (2.25/100 renter HHs)2001: 5 filings (3.75/100 renter HHs)2002: 7 filings (5.25/100 renter HHs)2003: 10 filings (7.50/100 renter HHs)2004: 5 filings (3.75/100 renter HHs)2005: 6 filings (3.22/100 renter HHs)2006: 4 filings (2.15/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Canterbury

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from York eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the York County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 13% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was B ("Still Desirable"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 40 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 4.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.5% of renter households in 2003.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42133010300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133010300?

Census tract 42133010300 in the Canterbury neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42133010300?

Median gross rent is $1,267/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42133010300?

10.5% of residents in tract 42133010300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,601.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42133010300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 16th, minority 39th, housing 51th.
Q5

Is tract 42133010300 considered part of Canterbury?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133010300 fall within Canterbury (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133010300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 40 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133010300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.98% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42133010300 compare to York overall?

Tract 42133010300 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of York at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from York eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42133010300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 13% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in York

Top eight tracts in York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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