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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Fireside Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , York

Tract 42133001400 · York County, PA · pop 4,469 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

42133001400 is a census tract in the Fireside Park area of York, PA. It scores 7.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,469. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 9% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,795
Renter share29.8%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate14.2%
Median income$55,818

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Fireside Park
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 17 tracts In York
Low
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 108 tracts In York County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#207 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across York and the region

Centroid at 39.9788, -76.7503 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fireside Park scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from York
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
14.2% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,147 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from York
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from York
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from York
7.7

How Fireside Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fireside Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0014005.9Yorkparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 644Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 17.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 31.2%Peak (2003)
  • 81Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42133001400
Filings climbed 23% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fireside Park

around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the York County average of 42.6%. It sits 2.9 points above the York County average of 4.4.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.7/10.

Court records carry 644 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,147, 13% above the York average.

The worst year on record was 2003, when 31.2% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 17.8% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42133001400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133001400?

Census tract 42133001400 in the Fireside Park neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42133001400?

Median gross rent is $1,147/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42133001400?

14.2% of residents in tract 42133001400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,469.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42133001400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 99th, minority 61th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 42133001400 considered part of Fireside Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133001400 fall within Fireside Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133001400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 644 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133001400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.78% of renter households, peaking at 31.2% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42133001400 compare to York overall?

Tract 42133001400 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of York at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from York eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42133001400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in York

Top eight tracts in York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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