Eviction Risk in The Avenues , York
Tract 42133001200 · York County, PA · pop 3,292 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 42133001200 sits in the The Avenues neighborhood of York, Pennsylvania. It has a population of 3,292 and an eviction-risk score of 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). 51% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 9% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $947/month against a median household income of $48,591 — roughly 23% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
Hispanic-Black Neighborhood — 3,526 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 42.2%
- White (non-Hispanic) 23.7%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 31.3%
- Other / Multiracial 2.9%
How the 6.5/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 9.2 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 3.4 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 3.8 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 4.4 | York (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 7.0 | York (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 3.5 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 9.5 | York (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 7.7 | York (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 4.5 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 2.1 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 100%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,156Total filings over 7 yrs
- 24.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 29.7%Peak (2002)
- 168Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Avenues. Closest by composite score.
Dominant grade: C — definitely declining
Approximately 80% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in York. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 0.0%B (Desirable)
- 78.4%C (Declining)
- 1.1%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 42133001200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133001200?
Census tract 42133001200 in the The Avenues neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 42133001200?
Median gross rent is $947/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 42133001200?
18.1% of residents in tract 42133001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,292.
How socially vulnerable is tract 42133001200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 96th, minority 76th, housing 98th.
Is tract 42133001200 considered part of The Avenues?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133001200 fall within The Avenues (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133001200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,156 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.47% of renter households, peaking at 29.7% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Was tract 42133001200 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is C (Definitely Declining). Roughly 1% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in York. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.