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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Royal Square District Eviction Risk: Elevated , York

Tract 42133000100 · York County, PA · pop 1,308 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 42133000100 covers part of the Royal Square District area of York, PA, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,308 residents. It sits 2.9 points above the York County average of 4.4.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 56% Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units858
Renter share92.3%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate20.0%
Median income$41,414

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Royal Square District
Very High
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 17 tracts In York
Moderate
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 108 tracts In York County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#207 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across York and the region

Centroid at 39.9616, -76.7267 · click any tract to drill in

Why Royal Square District scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from York
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
20.0% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$862 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from York
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from York
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from York
7.7

How Royal Square District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Royal Square District risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0001005.9Yorkparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 545Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 13.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.9%Peak (2006)
  • 104Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42133000100
Filings climbed 68% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Royal Square District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Royal Square District

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

92% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.

The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 545 evictions over 7 years of observation. Average gross rent is $862, 15% below the York average.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 19.9% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 13.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42133000100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133000100?

Census tract 42133000100 in the Royal Square District neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42133000100?

Median gross rent is $862/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42133000100?

20.0% of residents in tract 42133000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,308.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42133000100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 60th, minority 68th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 42133000100 considered part of Royal Square District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133000100 fall within Royal Square District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133000100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 545 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133000100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.55% of renter households, peaking at 19.9% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42133000100 compare to York overall?

Tract 42133000100 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of York at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from York eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42133000100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 14% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in York

Top eight tracts in York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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