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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally

Northwest Triangle Eviction Risk: Elevated , York

Tract 42133001600 · York County, PA · pop 1,659 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

In Northwest Triangle in York, census tract 42133001600 scores 7.1/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #4,115 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $487 a month against an average household income of $16,156 a year, roughly 36% of income at the averages. Renters make up 79% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 34% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units807
Renter share79.3%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate49.5%
Median income$16,156

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Northwest Triangle
Moderate
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#4 of 17 tracts In York
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 108 tracts In York County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#197 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across York and the region

Centroid at 39.9657, -76.7300 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northwest Triangle scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from York
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
49.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$487 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from York
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from York
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from York
7.7

How Northwest Triangle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Northwest Triangle risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.76.7This tracttract 001600York: 4.34.3Yorkparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 404Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 9.71%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.6%Peak (2004)
  • 61Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 421330016002000: 64 filings (11.29/100 renter HHs)2001: 48 filings (8.46/100 renter HHs)2002: 38 filings (6.70/100 renter HHs)2003: 55 filings (9.70/100 renter HHs)2004: 77 filings (13.58/100 renter HHs)2005: 61 filings (9.12/100 renter HHs)2006: 61 filings (9.12/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northwest Triangle

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from York eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the York County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 13% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42133001600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133001600?

Census tract 42133001600 in the Northwest Triangle neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42133001600?

Median gross rent is $487/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42133001600?

49.5% of residents in tract 42133001600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,659.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42133001600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 85th, minority 76th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 42133001600 considered part of Northwest Triangle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133001600 fall within Northwest Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133001600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 404 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133001600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.71% of renter households, peaking at 13.6% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42133001600 compare to York overall?

Tract 42133001600 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of York at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from York eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42133001600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 13% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in York

Top eight tracts in York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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