2 census tracts · pop 4,663 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10
· range 7.3–7.3
Elmwood spans 2 census tracts of York, PA and houses 4,663 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.3/10, in the Elevated tier. 54% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the York rate of 33.0%.
Average gross rent is $438, 57% below the York average of $1,014. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 30%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The poverty rate is 25%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side is housing-court posture at 7.7/10.
Court records carry 866 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 20.6% of renter households.
Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7/10. Recent filings have not receded much: 13.0% in 2006 against a 20.6% peak. Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of York, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Against average income of $46,274, annual rent is only 11%, a wide affordability cushion.
With little internal variation, 7.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Elmwood vs YorkHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport52%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Elmwood
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
866Total filings (sum)
13.32%Avg annual filing rate
20.6%Peak year (2005)
13.08%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked
About Elmwood
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Elmwood?
Elmwood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Elmwood compare to York overall?
Elmwood scores 1.4 points higher than York overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $438 vs $1,014.
Q3
What is the average rent in Elmwood?
Average gross rent in Elmwood is $438/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Elmwood residents are renters?
44% of Elmwood households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in York). The neighborhood has 4,663 residents.
Q5
Is Elmwood a high social-vulnerability area?
Elmwood sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Elmwood have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Elmwood is census tract 42133000500 (score 7.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.3 to 7.3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Elmwood for landlords?
Elmwood carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to York as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Elmwood?
Elmwood has 4,959 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (36.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
