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Neighborhood · York, PA

Elmwood Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 4,663 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10 · range 6.1–6.4

Elmwood is a hispanic-white neighborhood in York with 2 census tracts and a population of 4,663 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 54% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $438/month sits 57% lower than the York citywide average ($1,014).

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Elmwood vs York How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.3% +65%
York: 33.0%
Average gross rent
$438 -57%
York: $1,014
Average HH income
$46,274 -2%
York: $47,115
Poverty rate
25.4% +12%
York: 22.7%
Renter share
44.2% -21%
York: 56.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Elmwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.1–6.4

Why Elmwood scores 6.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
44% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Economic stress
25.4% below poverty line · Range 5.8–7.1 across tracts
6.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–5.0 across tracts
4.1
Risk score comparison

Elmwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Elmwood score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Elmwood: 6.26.2ElmwoodNeighborhoodParent city: 4.34.3Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Elmwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42133000400 6.4 1,951 44% $1,046
42133000500 6.1 2,712 62%
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 84

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 85%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 84%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 52%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Elmwood

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 866Total filings (sum)
  • 13.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.6%Peak year (2005)
  • 13.08%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Elmwood

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Elmwood?

Elmwood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Elmwood compare to York overall?

Elmwood scores 1.9 points higher than York overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $438 vs $1,014.
Q3

What is the average rent in Elmwood?

Average gross rent in Elmwood is $438/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Elmwood residents are renters?

44% of Elmwood households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in York). The neighborhood has 4,663 residents.
Q5

Is Elmwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Elmwood sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Elmwood have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Elmwood is census tract 42133000400 (score 6.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.1 to 6.4, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Elmwood for landlords?

Elmwood carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to York as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Elmwood?

Elmwood has 4,959 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (36.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Elmwood

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside York

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Elmwood.

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