Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Elmwood Eviction Risk: Elevated , York
Tract 42133000500 · York County, PA · pop 2,712 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
42133000500 is a census tract in the Elmwood area of York, PA. It scores 7.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,712. Against York County at 42.6%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,200
Renter share42.7%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$48,090
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across York and the region
Centroid at 39.9667, -76.7092 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elmwood scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from York
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from York
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from York
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from York
7.7
How Elmwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 48%Grade C
- 43%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 594Total filings over 7 yrs
- 14.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.9%Peak (2005)
- 88Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elmwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elmwood
Against the York County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.9 points. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10.
The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7.7/10.
Court records carry 594 eviction filings across 7 observed years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 14.9% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 14.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.2/10. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42133000500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133000500?
Census tract 42133000500 in the Elmwood neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 42133000500?
23.4% of residents in tract 42133000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,712.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 42133000500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 74th, minority 83th, housing 55th.
Q4
Is tract 42133000500 considered part of Elmwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133000500 fall within Elmwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133000500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 594 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.32% of renter households, peaking at 14.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 42133000500 compare to York overall?
Tract 42133000500 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of York at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from York eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 42133000500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 43% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in York
Top eight tracts in York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Green Hill
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Royal Square District
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
McClellan Heights
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
WeCo District
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
WeCo District
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
The Avenues
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Fireside Park
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Park Village
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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