Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Blackstone Eviction Risk: Moderate , Providence
Tract 44007003200 · Providence County, RI · pop 3,572 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 44007003200 sits in the Blackstone area of Providence eviction risk, RI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. The clearest offset is economic stress at 2.1/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,597
Renter share59.7%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$110,069
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.8441, -71.3990 · click any tract to drill in
Why Blackstone scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,778 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5
How Blackstone compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 29%Grade A
- 43%Grade B
- 27%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 38Total filings over 2 yrs
- 2.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.8%Peak (2016)
- 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 107Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.17×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Blackstone. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.1%Food insecurity
- 8.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 4.8%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 20.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Blackstone
At $1,778 a month, rents run 26% over what the rest of Providence commands. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.
11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 38 evictions over 2 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 2.8% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 1.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007003200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007003200?
Census tract 44007003200 in the Blackstone neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007003200?
Median gross rent is $1,778/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007003200?
8.3% of residents in tract 44007003200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,572.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007003200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 17th, minority 36th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 44007003200 considered part of Blackstone?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007003200 fall within Blackstone (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007003200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007003200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.74% of renter households, peaking at 2.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007003200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.17× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007003200 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007003200 compare to Providence overall?
Tract 44007003200 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007003200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Edgewood
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Elmwood
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Merino
8
/ 10 · High
Related