Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Federal Hill Eviction Risk: High , Providence
Tract 44007001000 · Providence County, RI · pop 2,523 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 44007001000 sits in the Federal Hill area of Providence eviction risk, RI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. It is home to 2,523 residents. Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 43.2% across Providence County.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,328
Renter share81.8%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate38.2%
Median income$56,591
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.8193, -71.4347 · click any tract to drill in
Why Federal Hill scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
38.2% poverty · this tract
9.5
Supply constraint
$1,319 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5
How Federal Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 102Total filings over 2 yrs
- 5.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2016)
- 53Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 266Total filings 2020-21
- 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.85×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Federal Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.3%Housing insecurity
- 15.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.8%Food insecurity
- 27.6%SNAP enrollment
- 14.4%Transit barriers
- 13.3%No health insurance
- 21.0%Frequent mental distress
- 32.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Federal Hill
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.5/10. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 2.3 points above the Providence County average of 5.7.
82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10.
Housing insecurity runs 23.3% against 14.2% nationally. Court records carry 102 eviction filings across 2 observed years.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2016, when 6.5% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 5.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007001000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007001000?
Census tract 44007001000 in the Federal Hill neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007001000?
Median gross rent is $1,319/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007001000?
38.2% of residents in tract 44007001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,523.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007001000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 40th, minority 63th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 44007001000 considered part of Federal Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007001000 fall within Federal Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007001000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 102 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007001000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.67% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007001000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.85× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007001000 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007001000 compare to Providence overall?
Tract 44007001000 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007001000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Manton
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Stimson Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Providence Jewelry Manufacturing Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Federal Hill
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
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